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Epic Pachinko 1X Girls - Discussions


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On 10/28/2021 at 5:29 PM, blaa said:

got the two new girls with 26 orbs, so I am on a total of 1449 orbs: 105 girls / 659 gifts / 647 equip / 39x dating tokens / 7,24% drop rate / 1 girl in 13,80 pachinko orbs / 1182 orbs remaining / 0 perma pachinko girls left

finished current event with getting the pachinko girls in 32 orbs (2,25,32)

I am on a total of 1481 orbs: 108 girls / 673 gifts / 661 equip / 39x dating tokens / 7,29% drop rate / 1 girl in 13,71 pachinko orbs / 1183 orbs remaining / 0 perma pachinko girls left

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Belle Schwartz - 1 orb
Fuckland Gwenaelle - 54 orbs
Sorceress Dalila - 11 orbs
Burglar Reimi - 1 orb
Fuckland Fanny&Fione - 2 orbs
Jabberwock Maleva - 6 orbs

My historic record with Epic Pachinko is 2029 orbs for 143 girls (7,05% equivalent to 1 girl every 14,2 orbs)

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I'm in the middle of a very bad RNG run (36 orbs for zero girls). Finally had enough and used 5,400 kobans for a guaranteed win to get the only girl available (Fuckland Fanny & Fione). I think I'm going to hold off untill my stash is at 100 orbs before playing the Epic Pachinko again. 

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Tia Erp - 26 orbs

Epic days were so bad with the first girl that I tried the second girl with orbs, and of course I got a result worst than average.

My historic record with Epic Pachinko is 2055 orbs for 144 girls (7,01% equivalent to 1 girl every 14,3 orbs)

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On 11/9/2021 at 2:05 PM, blaa said:

finished current event with getting the pachinko girls in 32 orbs (2,25,32)

I am on a total of 1481 orbs: 108 girls / 673 gifts / 661 equip / 39x dating tokens / 7,29% drop rate / 1 girl in 13,71 pachinko orbs / 1183 orbs remaining / 0 perma pachinko girls left

that was a bad run, 252 orbs for 6 girls (31,168,206,207,219,252), that means my drop rate declined about 0,72%

I am on a total of 1733 orbs: 114 girls / 733 gifts / 724 equip / 39x dating tokens / 123 gems / 6,57% drop rate / 1 girl in 15,20 pachinko orbs / 957 orbs remaining / 0 perma pachinko girls left

Since gem update 252 orbs, 6 girls / 60 gifts / 63 equip / 123 gems / 2,38% drop rate / 1 girl in 42 orbs

at least rosso said:

image.png.89ab8b46c269e976d4e426212f36808e.png

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3112 orbs = 188 girl (6.09%)
..., 2707, 2748, 2761, 2763, 2766, 2780, 2782, 2785, 2799, 2805, 2854, 2882, 2896, 2914, 2967, 3003, 3022, 3045 3068 3103 3112
September: 57 orbs = 1 girl 
October: 92 orbs = 3 girl

November: 74 orbs - 7 girl
December: 77 orbs - 4 girls
January: 156 orbs - 12 girl
February: 247 orbs - 15 girl
March: 410 orb - 20 girl
April: 155 orb - 11 girl
May: 322 orb - 16 girl
June: 95 orb - 9 girl
Jule: 192 orb - 13 girl
August: 192 orbs - 14 girl

September: 258 orbs - 15 girl
October: 206 orbs = 9 girl

November: 75 orb - 2 girl
Big event 50 orbs - 1 girl
Orgy: 25 orbs - 1 girl
December: 48 orbs - 7 girl
Big event 29 orbs - 4 girl

Orgy 19  orbs - 3 girl
January: 199 orbs - 6 girl
Main event 83 orbs - 3 girl

Orgy: 116 orbs - 3 girl
February: 70 orbs - 4 girl

Orgy: 45 orbs - 2 girl
25 orb - 11 drop gem
812 orb - 46 drop tokens
P.S. I have two event girls left this month in pachinko, which I can't pick up without spending kobans, and this is very sad, another reason to leave the game. We have returned to the indicators of September 2020, which means that now we will never be able to get all the girls from orbs.

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  • 3 weeks later...
On 11/18/2021 at 10:25 PM, blaa said:

that was a bad run, 252 orbs for 6 girls (31,168,206,207,219,252), that means my drop rate declined about 0,72%

I am on a total of 1733 orbs: 114 girls / 733 gifts / 724 equip / 39x dating tokens / 123 gems / 6,57% drop rate / 1 girl in 15,20 pachinko orbs / 957 orbs remaining / 0 perma pachinko girls left

Since gem update 252 orbs, 6 girls / 60 gifts / 63 equip / 123 gems / 2,38% drop rate / 1 girl in 42 orbs

at least rosso said:

image.png.89ab8b46c269e976d4e426212f36808e.png

another bad run, 94 orbs for 4 event girls

Since the last change (added books, lower equip drop rate)  that's 94 orbs / 4 girls / 45 gifts / 45 books / 0 equip / 4,25% drop rate / 1 girl in 23,5 orbs / 954 orbs remaining / 0 perma pachinko girls left

I am on a total of 1827 orbs / 118 girls / 778 gifts / 45 books / 724 equip / 39 dating tokens / 123 gems / 6,45% drop rate / 1 girl in 15,4 orbs / 954 orbs remaining / 0 perma pachinko girls left

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6 hours ago, jelom said:

Carnival Xia - 8 orbs
Bruma Cockit - 6 orbs
Alex Pussywig - 2 orbs
Ghostly Present Winter - 51 orbs

My historic record with Epic Pachinko is 2122 orbs for 148 girls (6,97% equivalent to 1 girl every 14,3 orbs)

not sure how my average got worse than yours (when i was about 2% higher than you a few month ago), but that's RNG, i guess - glad you had some more luck recently

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10 hours ago, blaa said:

not sure how my average got worse than yours (when i was about 2% higher than you a few month ago), but that's RNG, i guess - glad you had some more luck recently

Yeah ... I´m currently on a 90 spins and no girl run 😢 ..sometimes I really hate rng ...

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On 12/5/2021 at 3:28 PM, blaa said:

another bad run, 94 orbs for 4 event girls

Since the last change (added books, lower equip drop rate)  that's 94 orbs / 4 girls / 45 gifts / 45 books / 0 equip / 4,25% drop rate / 1 girl in 23,5 orbs / 954 orbs remaining / 0 perma pachinko girls left

I am on a total of 1827 orbs / 118 girls / 778 gifts / 45 books / 724 equip / 39 dating tokens / 123 gems / 6,45% drop rate / 1 girl in 15,4 orbs / 954 orbs remaining / 0 perma pachinko girls left

3 girls left in pachinko from OD, took me another bad run wtih 168 orbs (even though i think it's fair to say that the drop rate did change (and rosso hence lied (again))

Since the last change (added books, lower equip drop rate)  that's 262 orbs / 7 girls / 130 gifts / 125 books / 0 equip / 2,67% drop rate / 1 girl in 37,42 orbs / 860 orbs remaining / 0 perma pachinko girls left

I am on a total of 1995 orbs / 121 girls / 863 gifts / 125 books / 724 equip / 39 dating tokens / 123 gems / 6,06% drop rate / 1 girl in 16,48 orbs / 860 orbs remaining / 0 perma pachinko girls left

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Christmas Housemaid - 38 orbs

My historic record with Epic Pachinko is 2160 orbs for 149 girls (6,90% equivalent to 1 girl every 14,5 orbs)

As there are doubts if the drop rate could have changed, I made this simple graphic. The X axis is not time but just the sequence of orbs for each girl in the last year and a half (all that I have posted here) and the Y axis is the orbs needed for each girl. I have added a tendency line (mobile average of the last 10 points).

As you can see for a long time I was slighly below the expected 14-15 orbs per girl, I had a VERY bad run in september and october, but it has descended to almost normal in november and december. It could be that the drop rate had been lowered the last months, but it also fits inside of the normal variability of RNG.

image.thumb.png.26c5b539048f80bbab40ec2600b251f9.png

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MY run without a girl is finally over but it´s still disgracful:

101 orbs for chirstmas housmaid (this includes my 93 orbs dry run)

36 for carnival xia

and another 13 for nothing

...what a disgraceful event/drop rate...

19 hours ago, blaa said:

3 girls left in pachinko from OD, took me another bad run wtih 168 orbs (even though i think it's fair to say that the drop rate did change (and rosso hence lied (again))

 

I´d bet my ass they lower it , especially after last Q&A´s comments about "no orb shower" anymore...

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2 minutes ago, holymolly said:

I´d bet my ass they lower it , especially after last Q&A´s comments about "no orb shower" anymore...

yeah, i think so too, but there is no data to really back it up, what i can tell for my orb luck is that it only got worse: at 800 used orbs i was on 8,4% (pretty lucky) now with 2000 used orbs I am on 6,0% (if I am lucky, I was just unlucky). But ofc, that could be all RNG -one of the problems: I cant really believe rosso when he said: there was no change in drop rates. We'll see eventually.

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15 minutes ago, blaa said:

yeah, i think so too, but there is no data to really back it up, what i can tell for my orb luck is that it only got worse: at 800 used orbs i was on 8,4% (pretty lucky) now with 2000 used orbs I am on 6,0% (if I am lucky, I was just unlucky). But ofc, that could be all RNG -one of the problems: I cant really believe rosso when he said: there was no change in drop rates. We'll see eventually.

I´ve noted my drop rates down and it´s been particulary bad lately :I´m on 4,9% and 5,3% for my main and nutaku account respectively .. prior to that my average was 6,8% and 7,0% which are now down to  6,0 % and 6,4% for me ...yeah probably just rng..my a ..obviously this isn´t enough to be sure but there´s definitely a worsening trackrecord. and the sadest thing is that my main "orb income" are paid PoA´s and the season pass at this point, I had 2 EpP orb PoP´s this and last week (with 5 drops so far.. prior to that I went 3 weeks without a single one).

 

And then include the fact that they don´t want to display drop rates.. well I wonder why.

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Same as MP, I've aggregated the results reported her since the last patch:

- 1038 Orbs played

- 29 Girls dropped

2.8% drop rate, or 1 in 36 Orbs

Again, excluding players who reported a single bad streak:

- 866 Orbs played

- 28 Girls dropped

3.2% drop rate, or 1 in 31 Orbs

So that's approximately half of the expected drop rate. This looks more and more like another significant (and silent) nerf.

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3 hours ago, Liliat said:

Same as MP, I've aggregated the results reported her since the last patch:

- 1038 Orbs played

- 29 Girls dropped

2.8% drop rate, or 1 in 36 Orbs

Again, excluding players who reported a single bad streak:

- 866 Orbs played

- 28 Girls dropped

3.2% drop rate, or 1 in 31 Orbs

So that's approximately half of the expected drop rate. This looks more and more like another significant (and silent) nerf.

Well even I don´t think that they reduced the drop rates by more than 50 %  :D but it sure does looks like they´ve been lowered at least a bit .. I guess we´ll see in a couple of months wether they were reduced or not .. correctly me if I´m wrong but I´d say that the "old" drop rates ( the once we have or had since the beginning) are somewhat close to 14ish orbs per girl I wouldn´t be supprised if the "new one´s" (well obviously just a assumption atm but still..) are about 8-10 orbs more per girl.

(Also I´ve forgotten to post my nutaku results from the past few months : 
8 girl drops within the last 188 orbs ..this alone would improve the accumulated drop rate quite a bit I suppose ..)

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