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The data is simple, all contests were tracked (on nutaku) since they changed the contest rewards. There wasnt the same contest within in 3 days before lately. After a few months a pattern was recognised and postulated. It's that easy.

Yes, i dont get it and I wont send a report for this. You already said what the outcome will be, why should i bother? I already invited you to a chat on discord to get a proper chat, but you refused. It's probably better though. Be safe!

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48 minutes ago, natstar said:

We had a same contest not that long ago i think it was two casino/pachinko contest twice in a row before.

i like the donation contest because you either choose to do nothing for the 1 free combativity or just snipe a top 4 spot in last two minutes if its low enough the trick is not to do it early or so someone does not snipe you then you waste ymen for nothing.

It does not matter if the 3-day cooldown for random daily contest picks was true or not because it was proven to have stopped if it had been a thing because we had the same contest twice in a row not long ago so not even up for debate anymore.

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4 minutes ago, natstar said:

It does not matter if the 3-day cooldown for random daily contest picks was true or not because it was proven to have stopped if it had been a thing because we had the same contest twice in a row not long ago so not even up for debate anymore.

yes, and it's not relevant yet anymore, but it explains the confusion people were having when seeing the same contests with a lower cooldown. The fact that it has happend already more than a few times in a short time makes it only more likely to be true before (a certain point) though.

Edited by blaa
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6 minutes ago, blaa said:

yes, and it's not relevant yet anymore, but it explains the confusion people seeing the same contests with a lower cooldown. The fact that it has happend already more than a few times in a short time makes it only more likely to be true before (a certain point) though.

I am more like why are people so shocked at another double contest when it happened before.
I would rather normal contests take turns until they all had their chance a 3 day cooldown is not be good enough so i am glad they stopped it if it was thing.

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I acknowledge that this seems to be something worth caring about for some players, at least here, and likely for a non-negligible number of regulars according to you guys (including you, @blaa, you're a good source for your own experience in my book).

But I really can't find it in me to give a shit about that, honestly. I mean, contests in general are a nuisance and a negative experience for me. And 99% of the time they're either garbage and/or there's already 4 or more randos in my BoD group ready to spend a month's worth of resources on a single DC. So, aside from LC Day One which I play to the death (and prepare for throughout the month) out of necessity, and now the occasional CBC Day Three I can grab here and there... I do my best to ignore contests altogether.

Of course, to each their own, and my lack of curiosity or interest shouldn't stop you guys from sharing your reactions and theories about this breaking news on daily contest rolls! ^^

❤️

 

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@45026831What have you done with the simulator? It's much faster now. And I notice there isn't a huge number of simulations, so you aren't brute-forcing it? The number of simulations depend on the opponent too. I'm curious about what you did :) .

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I technically didn't do anything. A github user named rena-jp submitted a very interesting take on the sim via PR and that's now merged in.

This new sim is a depth-first recursive exhaustive sim. In other words it goes through every possible branch in a battle and calculates the probability of those branches as it goes, while also caching turns to not repeat the calculations if you're on a turn with the same HPs on both sides as you've seen before.

As a result, this sim is incredibly fast and has a consistent output.

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36 minutes ago, Boulie2 said:

Simply because it made me chuckle:

Today i pulled the Club Champions.

... And did 85% with one ticket.

I passed the fight, but i guess i was right to do so because it probably lasted quite a while xD 

Am I stupid or did you really made 85% impression with one ticket :D ?

What are you lvl 1500 :P ?

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il y a 14 minutes, holymolly a dit :

Am I stupid or did you really made 85% impression with one ticket :D ?

No no, that's exactly what i did.

And i stopped only because the CC was finished :P 

il y a 14 minutes, holymolly a dit :

What are you lvl 1500 :P ?

Clearly, that's the only explanation! :D

(Honestly, i was as surprised as you)

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44 minutes ago, Boulie2 said:

No no, that's exactly what i did.

And i stopped only because the CC was finished :P 

Clearly, that's the only explanation! :D

(Honestly, i was as surprised as you)

That just leaves me with even more quesitons :D

 

what lvl are you btw ..like for real :D ?

 

Wait..didn´t they cap the cc on lvl 300 ? was yours maybe over lvl 300 🤔 ?

 

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34 minutes ago, Boulie2 said:

I'm lvl 394

But our CC is only lvl 124. Even so, i generally do only 1 to 3% on my good days 

So that´s probably why I´ve never seen you anywhere in the game even though you´ve been playing for a while ^^
I guess your good days have moved significaly now ;)



(you´re not looking for a clud do you:P..just asking since we have still a spot open:D)

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Il y a 3 heures, holymolly a dit :

I guess your good days have moved significaly now ;)

I honestly think it was pure luck (the one you find at the end of a rainbow :P )

Il y a 3 heures, holymolly a dit :

(you´re not looking for a clud do you:P..just asking since we have still a spot open:D)

Honestly, i don't know

I'm in a dead club, we're 2 to do the CC, sometimes 3 other ppl come and use one ticket for less than a % combined and donc bother coming back

I don't really know if i should switch or not :/ I guess it's not like i'll lose something

Do i have to do something specific if i join? 

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1 hour ago, Boulie2 said:

I honestly think it was pure luck (the one you find at the end of a rainbow :P )

Honestly, i don't know

I'm in a dead club, we're 2 to do the CC, sometimes 3 other ppl come and use one ticket for less than a % combined and donc bother coming back

I don't really know if i should switch or not :/ I guess it's not like i'll lose something

Do i have to do something specific if i join? 

You have to wait 24 hours after leaving a club to join another one besides that just try to put at least 1 ticket in if you can for club champ so that you get the girl shards or legendary gift if you already have the girl.

we have a 12 hour rule on not defeating the club champ every time a new one is up to give time for people to have a chance after that can hit it as many times as you like.

You should leave your current club as soon as possible because you have to wait 24 hours before joining another one so the faster you do the faster you can send your club request.

You can search for the club when joining with the id 1898

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Recruitment in Chit Chat, by possibly the club that was once the most feared in leagues. Times are hard indeed. :D

Edit: @holymolly I guess we might never know, but in case the remaining founders told you before you took over, what the hell is that name supposed to mean and in which language (if it's not just a deliberately hard to type name for the sake of it as I always suspected)? ^^

And @Boulie2 please go to their Club's thread for further questions if any: Hērōēs Prāvī Forī [EN]

Edited by DvDivXXX
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13 minutes ago, DvDivXXX said:

 

Edit: @holymolly I guess we might never know, but in case the remaining founders told you before you took over, what the hell is that name supposed to mean and in which language (if it's not just a deliberately hard to type name for the sake of it as I always suspected)? ^^

Hērōēs Prāvī Forī [EN]

If you go over there you might actually get to know ;)
 

 

16 minutes ago, DvDivXXX said:

Recruitment in Chit Chat, by possibly the club that was once the most feared in leagues. Times are hard indeed. :D

It´s kinda hard to recruit forum members if there aren´t  much left you know :D

(we have still plenty good enough players... just look at our mate @Lemus once you get in a league with him let me know how it went :P (or with me ;) 😘)  
 

the pvp part of our club is mostly on nutaku nowadays: zoo,bla and rarum are probably the most known members (and feared I´d say)

 

 

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17 minutes ago, holymolly said:

just look at our mate @Lemus once you get in a league with him let me know how it went

Well, no later than in my next LAA weekly report, most likely tonight as I'll probably have to go a bit before reset (I might rely on his screenshot to know the final rankings actually ^^). And we have Daniel too, among other threats in that league. Right now I just hope no one else can push me out of the top 4. But shhh... no spoilers. ;)  

17 minutes ago, holymolly said:

If you go over there you might actually get to know

Got it, thanks. Well, the chase is better than the catch, sometimes. ^^ Latin doesn't explain all the extra "-" on top of letters which I didn't even know existed for most letters used before I encountered that club's name (at least this part I still suspect was just so it would be hard to type :D ).

Edited by DvDivXXX
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16 minutes ago, DvDivXXX said:

Got it, thanks. Well, the chase is better than the catch, sometimes. ^^ Latin doesn't explain all the extra "-" on top of letters which I didn't even know existed for most letters used before I encountered that club's name (at least this part I still suspect was just so it would be hard to type :D ).

Latin has a lot of those to distinguish how to pronounce the vowel. A bar means a longer vowel a circumflex means a short vowel.You can definitely remove the fancy stuff on top of the vowels, it would still be the same. It's just how classicists distinguish the pronunciation. That´s what I´ve been told :D
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I just want to say that i did the survey and i'm pretty happy with the things asked: like the possibility to "slideshow" more than 1 girl in the.... "home page" at this point XD (was one of my suggestions, i'm touched 🤧) , and the expanding menu. Thing that the script does if i understood correctly.

Anyways i like a lot the "let's ask the players" that is (slowly) taking place, good job KK. Remember only that after asking you have to listen the answer with the ears wide open ( a big bunny ears maybe XD).

Have fun!! cheers

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48 minutes ago, Xemnas said:

I just want to say that i did the survey and i'm pretty happy with the things asked: like the possibility to "slideshow" more than 1 girl in the.... "home page" at this point XD (was one of my suggestions, i'm touched 🤧) , and the expanding menu. Thing that the script does if i understood correctly.

Anyways i like a lot the "let's ask the players" that is (slowly) taking place, good job KK. Remember only that after asking you have to listen the answer with the ears wide open ( a big bunny ears maybe XD).

Have fun!! cheers

and here I was thinking another dear forum regular was going to apply in our new club recruitment topic :/

During the whole survey I was like: wait.. we already have those timers why are they asking about them..but then I remembered again.. the useful stuff is all @45026831 script 🤣

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