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How you doing in the "League"


casey

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Two weeks after my first Top4 I could make 1st place... I'm.... I'm.... speechless! 🎉😁

I used 2x Ginseng and 1x Cordyceps for all figths and an AM-Booster at the last 72 fights. Most girls in battleteam were lvl 700, some of them between lvl 650 and 700.

Edited by bolitho76
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This week I was very indecisive about how to play. The pre-league prognosis was that I'd have "no trouble" (I should have confirmed with the raw power of my opponents, though), so I started off with AME+2gin,1chlo, but soon started feeling it wasn't going to be enough, judging from tracking my opponents' scores. And somehow the more cordyceps I put into the mix, the worse my luck seemed to get. I ended up doing a refill after the blessings change as well. After that I was a bit here and there with my booster usage, thinking it's very little returns now so the outcome, whatever it might be, was going to be more or less set in stone. I did spend resources for getting the second blessing's girls up to a good shape.

Do note that Oliver's previous known best was 23.56, which should explain a bit about my hesitation to commit a lot of resources to this bracket, while they actually got 23.79. I still had a pretty awful blessing in the first week, and even during the second week I was up against a stronger team at a higher player level. Added to all this, RNG was not playing nice with me. So all in all, a supposedly relatively simple league that got interesting.

Statistics
My score: 7080 (99.710% of what my algorithm would expect with completely average luck)
Expected score (my algorithm): 7100.6
Expected score (HH++ algorithm): 7067.4

If I had been using the following booster combinations for the duration of the league but with the same fight timing decisions, these would have been my completely average luck scores:
AME+3cor         7148.4
AME+2cor,1gin    7123.6
AME+1cor,2gin    7089.3
AME+2gin,1chlo   7023.9
3 cordy          6990.3
2 cordy, 1 gin   6954.2

Perfect precognition score with average luck and AME+3cor throughout: 7243.05 (24.387 average). The AME+3cor expectation was 98.693% of this.

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It's getting easier. 102 players, 303 possible fights, only 283 fights done (I missed at least half a day). Still enough to reach 28th position with a 18.52 average (same as last week). Really far away from top 15 (~6000 points), so I didn't waste kobans in refills.

Score: 5242
Average: 18.52
Position: 28th

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Top 10:

top10-1min.thumb.png.9d0c6f36d56e7ecbb4059e7b16e733a0.png

I also obtained O'Malley this week.

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Alright, I was trying to get in touch with @Dmitrii to avoid false hopes for 15 more mins after playing my last fights, but the Dmitrii special arrived just around that time (plus he's either not on Discord or not with the same nickname ^^). So at least I knew I was beaten to the punch for the win a bit earlier this time... Thankfully, this held as a Top 4 at least. A very expensive Top 4, but a Top 4 nonetheless.

My hopes:HH League Story 121 - D3 - O Malley Week 5 - Going for a winl E.png

The Dmitrii special:HH League Story 121 - D3 - O Malley Week 5 - Going for a winl F.png

Final scores (or close to it, at least, I did finish #2 so Blue and the others must not have gone too far except fighting for top 4 between them):
HH League Story 121 - D3 - O Malley Week 5 - Going for a winl H.png

------------------
D3 run #90 2022/05/12-19
Boosters used: 3 legendaries all the time, 3 AM boosters.
103 players. 102 opponents. 306 fights. wins: 306. losses: 0.
Average: 23.29
Finished: Top 4
Girl Shards: (O'Malley Week 5)X
Refills: 189kos 2x188kos 183kos 176kos 175kos 155kos 99kos
Contenders for top 4: Dmitrii, Blue (479/750), actually ME
Maybe: Napo, Oliver Twix, whoever gets lucky past the gap?

Relatively tense and weird week for me, I've been sick IRL (getting better now) and also the transition to level 750 (still in progress, although the unlock is done at least) was pricier and more tedious than I had anticipated. That and the current blessings on HH (and even more so, the upcoming ones) not favoring Mythics at all, but instead putting random brand-new 5-stars in the spotlight didn't help (although at least this seems to have kept Blue and his all-in on 7 lvl750 Mythics strat at bay to an extent). I have a hybrid team that's neither the best nor the worst... Next week I'll basically have Alexa and 6 outmatched girls next to her, unless I find a truckload of books and red gems on the floor by then and can afford to bank on my level 1 Imogen and Haruka. ^^

Congrats for the win, Dmitrii. I must say the last minute thing in league is still a pretty foreign concept for me, but I'll get better at it (technically, I was holding back until the last hour myself, and it did pay off, kinda, as my final opponent got a partial snapshot near the end and I caught them unboosted, for 63 pts instead of 60! ^^ but yeah, nowhere near enough). I could probably have scored better had I stalled more during Phase 1, and saved more fights for my much better team in Phase 2. Live and learn.

Good luck have fun this week, folks. Stay safe!

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il y a 7 minutes, DvDivXXX a dit :

I must say the last minute thing in league is still a pretty foreign concept for me

Actually it makes sense when you need to use refills to finish the league: the longer you wait with exactly 15 remaining fights (5 opponents), the cheaper the last refill will be. You save 1 Koban every ~3 minutes you wait.

I've used that a lot in uncertain leagues.

Of course, if you use refills somewhere in the middle of the league (e.g. during blessing change), then you probably finish the league early anyway, so this wouldn't apply. If you perfectly optimize your fights, you probably don't need refills either.

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So ..I won both of my leagues this week :D

To my surprise my attempt on nutaku and my half ass attempt on hh both held :D (didn´t thought I´d be able to win with not even 2 AM´s on hh since didish had the superior team.. but nutaku was probably the bigger surprise..Sol1 had a team that´s about 15k stronger in both blessings than mine was (and I just barely unlocked lvl 700 over there as well)

I´ll probably take a break this week so maybe a top 4 it is (especially on hh since next weeks blessings are terrible for me AND I´m with @Lemus :D )

And congratz to @bolitho76 I already heard from MM that you´re league was winnable (lvl 390 that almost got you :P)

23,96 average on hh and 23,45 on nutaku

 

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Attempt #34 in D3

Info: <current league> [<last league stats>] [<personal best>]

Points: 6872 (!) [6754] [6870]

Average: 22.46 [22.74] [22.74]

Victories: 302/306 [294/297] [300/300]

Ah, that was close. This week I was not good enough for the top places. I wasn't sure and my feeling was more that it will be too hard. Nevertheless I decided to give it a try and used one mythic booster. I had two CBC wins this week, so one booster was affordable. If I'm not wrong some of the players above me were very late and probably hold back a lot of fights, so it was a bit of a surprise. Never mind...the next chance will come.

 

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No AME used, you know the drill:

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This screenshop is from 5 hours before ending, but the first 3 positions and scores didn't change. I don't remember who ended 4th but it was definitely not zythgor when I took a look with my phone 15 minutes before the end. And it was someone with less than 7.000 points anyway.

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Congrats to shal for his incontestable win. He has always been my idol for his performances in league and he never dissapoints. 7256 points and 23,71 average, with level 700 girls, passing me in 🎵 "SloMo" 🎵

I did a good second place (without AME of course) with 7089 points and 23,17 average.

Bluelegend and XXDongXX placed 3rd and 4th at a sizeable distance.

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Edited by jelom
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9 hours ago, Kenrae said:

 I don't remember who ended 4th but it was definitely not zythgor when I took a look with my phone 15 minutes before the end. And it was someone with less than 7.000 points anyway.

With 5 minutes to go (my last snapshot), ciscotn was 4th with 6896 points

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So a quite cheap 2nd place.

I was very busy again IRL and I'd to use kisses for the seasons. So I decided not to fight for 1st place ( @govenants was too strong for my lvl700+ team).

Because of my job, i missed 6 fights. A loss of XP but it wouldn't have changed anything for 1st place anyway. The following players were far enough so that my top 4 was not in danger.

Congratulations to jacob and [FDGN]~Joe for their top 4. There was many lvl500 players int this league.

102 opponents, 300 fights, 1,4 AM boosters used, 1257 kobans spent.

Screenshot taken by Govenants at 12:57 GMT+2

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Next week : my hardest opponents are Fran, sinnet89 and Satellizer. I've to find some time to play if I want to win this league.

Peace and games to everybody.

Edited by Troctout
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Another week in D3, started at level 477, finished at level 478.

Screenshot taken 3 minutes before the end of the league. 

1900959395_Screenshot_20220519-125753_KiwiBrowser.jpg.01125f1008dc89670f21c839f9c0b76d.jpg

Final rank: 4th

Boosters used : 18 legendaries (1 cordycep / 2 gingseng 6 times). 0.79 mythic booster.

103 players -> 102 opponents -> 306 possible fights -> 306 fights performed -> 306 wins and 0 loss

I just use the remaining fights on my AM booster used for the previous league. Apparently, 3 AM boosters could let me compete to win this league but I'm fine with my top 4. I didn't have the best team in this league anyway.

Have a good week and take care. 

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Well yuck! -21.37 points from what the combat sim said was "normal avg" this week. In effect I was fighting the RNG gods instead of the players in my D3 this time and as I said in the begining "yuck." This is the screenshot with just over 12.5 hours to go.

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Judging by the scores at this date I think several of the other players are fighting the RNG gods as well. Time will tell and I wish I would be here to see the weeks final results tally.

Have fun everyone, cya on the flip side 😃

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I'm usually much further away on the last day:

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Of course, I didn't expect this to hold, considering I only had 15 fights left, against the Top 6 players of the group. I still kept an eye on the Top 15 to see if it would be worth a last minute refill (It wasn't :) )

Final rank is still my best so far, with a 19.33 average (Up from 18.52) with 294/297 fights done:

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Top 10:

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Better result than expected. Pelinor had used his chance of a good 3rd place and my 5th place is better than I thought after I saw the opponents at the first time. Ira with 81x win in D3, Frost Burnl, NARDI LEGEND and mot_131 with 30+ wins were heavy opponents and I had expected that Ira would gain some more points in the end of the league. Sadly one loss with a chance of more than 99% that this would be a win, but the 0,08% chance of a defeat triggered. RNG is a bitch...

I used one AM-Booster and as Legendary Booster were 2x Ginseng and 1x Cordycep allways equiped. The Battleteams were build with mostly lvl700 girls, 1-3 girls were between lvl 650 and 700 (to short on books to upgrade all girls now).

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Kind of a lot hinged on this league. Hugh seems to have stepped up their game, with beating me on 12th of May, and bla on 19th of May. And as such, I had to exact revenge both for myself and for bla. And there's always also my reputation as one of the toughest D3 players that I have to protect.

On the first week, my defense team had 168510.3 total power, while Hugh teams had 194313 on a darkness+light one and 184915.51 on a balanced one.

In this league, I actually skipped doing battles for an entire snapshot even though I was online, and for another one almost completely as well. This was intentional, and the intent was trying to preserve players unfought that I thought might be unboosted after the blessings change. Then in the two snapshots before blessings change, I went crazy with the fights. Notably, I did 36 in the first one, though I had meant to leave Paliz and proutprout unfought for after the blessings change instead of fighting them now.

For the second week, I was willing to go out of my way to bring an almost unleveled Madame Ivanka up to fighting shape, to make the best out of the blessings change. Without getting more gems from anywhere, I was able to get her to level 650. All of the rewards that I had at that point only got me up to 1201 gems, while 1400 was needed. Well, that wouldn't do. I was even considering getting the remaining gems from combativity with refills, but what I ended up doing was getting first place for the dual give XP contests. For the regular contest, it was kind of close: 2.952M points vs. 2.854M points, and I overshot in my snipe of gargantuan proportions considerably for the legendary contest: 3.712M points vs. 2.713M points. Oh, well. That's still okay value when you win two contests like that, especially if I was going to otherwise waste Kobans. And at least now every 5-star and plenty of others in my harem are leveled up to their awakening thresholds; I had quite the backlog for that. And that hoard of 40K XP books actually was put to pretty good use. One fun note is that my script complained about an unexpected change to my stats; this had changed my harem endurance enough that it was registered.

The blessings change really pulled its weight again. I had been very accurate with my predictions about who would be unboosted and who wouldn't be, amongst those people I had left to fight. So, even though I might have been somewhat weaker in some sense, I at least was up against a whole lot of unboosted players. The boosted ones also tended to have weak boosts and an elemental team, so I picked a fair few of them off, too.

Another girl leveling contest came in handy, because I still had those last 50 levels to give to Madame Ivanka, and I also decided it was fine to get Mizuki up from level 500 to level 700 since I'd be seeing a fair bit of physical teams (out of the handful of players I had left), and because by now I was determined to win the league. It also started looking like a very real possibility since my tracking showed that Hugh had done their final fights and was at 24.212, while I was at 24.26.

On that second week, for what it's worth, my defense team had 163275 total power, while Hugh's had 173800. By the end of the post-BC snapshot, I had decided to fight all but one opponent, and was at 7502 points vs. Hugh's 7554.

I may have won against level 750 teams before, but it's pretty clear Hugh was at least pretty serious; that must have been a lot of refills, and of course expensive boosters. Was that with three AMEs? Maybe some of your last fights were without.

I made a calculated decision to finish already on Tuesday, even though I had to fight a boosted opponent to do it. I just didn't quite see myself outlasting even one fight more from Hugh, so I put my money on them having finished. This saved me some booster Kobans, since even after my final 20 AME charges had been wasted, I could do season fights at high-90s % chances for the PoA without boosting.

This also marks my 20th first place in Dicktator III. Nice to have had you as an opponent to be taken seriously for the occasion, Hugh.

Statistics
My score: 7567 (100.102% of what my algorithm would expect with completely average luck)
Expected score (my algorithm): 7559.3
Expected score (HH++ algorithm): 7554.6

If I had been using the following booster combinations for the duration of the league but with the same fight timing decisions, these would have been my completely average luck scores:
AME+3cor         7559.3
AME+2cor,1gin    7538.1
AME+1cor,2gin    7505.2
AME+2gin,1chlo   7437.3
3 cordy          7400.7
2 cordy, 1 gin   7367.2

Perfect precognition score with average luck and AME+3cor throughout: 7600.47 (24.36 average). The AME+3cor expectation was 99.458% of this.

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Edited by Rarum
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Darn. I planned using my 3 AM-boosters in the league season that just started. Because I really need those extra 2k koban for 4th place to have a shot at the next Mythic girl and at Radka when she reappears in late June.

Scanned the league for tough opponents... okay, looks good, looks good... I might have a very small chance to become 4th... oh, hi @DvDivXXX! I'm out... ;)

At least I know now that my boosters would be wasted. Better than nothing I guess. Good luck to DvDivXXX for this season. :)

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image.png.008aa6324552c61dc2499d2d258fbd0e.png

Attempt #35 in D3

Info: <current league> [<last league stats>] [<personal best>]

Points: 6784 [6872] [6872]

Average: 22.61 [22.46] [22.74]

Victories: 299/300 [302/306] [300/300]

I'm happy with another Top 4 finish. Like the past weeks I used one mythic booster and a stronger legandary booster setup at the end. During last weeks Top 4 was always in reach so I'm investing a little more in better boosters now. It's possible that it will not work every time, but if it happens here and there my koban earnings in total should be better. Even a first victory, (the ultimate goal 🙂), was very close this time, but this is not predictable for me early enough during the week to invest in another mythic booster and I don't want to spend more resources than necessary. My chance will come, but level 750 girls are far away for me because I chose a more balanced way in awakening.

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Div's Trifecta Day, part 3:

HH League Story 122 - D3 - O Malley Week 6 - Really Going for the win E9.png

------------------
D3 run #91 2022/05/19-26
Boosters used: 3 legendaries all the time, 3 AM boosters.
100 players. 99 opponents. 297 fights. wins: 297. losses: 0.
Average: 23.55
Finished: #1! 😃
Girl Shards: (O'Malley Week 6)X
Refills: 4x188kos 3x185kos 147kos 131kos 122kos 94kos 75kos
Contenders for top 4: ME and others?
Maybe: whoever + whoever gets lucky past the gap?

Finally my third D3 win, and just when I needed it the most! Okay so, this week I had identified that I was actually probably the biggest threat, except for the wild and scary card that I now know not to ignore in Dr T. We both went for a somewhat similar strategy, or rather fight distribution between the two Phases, except that in my case it made much more sense. My Phase 1 team wasn't the top team, but it was quite strong and much stronger than I knew my Phase 2 team would be. So, being determined to go for the win for real, I went absolutely all-in during Phase 1, and by reset time on Monday, I was already done with all my fights. Getting the best score at the best average I could hope for (despite a few low rolls with RNG, even getting close to a defeat with barely 17 points in one fight).

Dr T also played the vast majority of his fights during Phase 1, except that his Phase 1 team was relatively weak for the field (weaker than mine even), and in sharp contrast to my situation, his Phase 2 team ended up being very near if not literally the top team (at level 750 to boot). Except that he had almost no fights left to benefit from it. So, I'm guessing he miscalculated or changed his strategy along the way, but too late to make a big enough difference. He still ended up breathing down my neck a little too close for comfort, especially with several days of just waiting with fingers crossed. Mostly fingers crossed that Dr T really made a poor decision in his strategy and was really done with all his fights, and stuck 50 points behind me for good. And especially this morning, I was praying really hard that he hadn't pulled a Joe on me and kept a weak opponent or two under his sleeve. The rest of the field, as expected, was never really part of the equation; a few of them actually fought for the 4th spot, but that was about it.

To better illustrate what I mean, a couple of additional screenshots.

Monday, shortly before Phase 2 started:
HH League Story 122 - D3 - O Malley Week 6 - Really Going for the win C.png

Tuesday, once Dr T was also done (and ciscotn, but as I said they were never in a position to contest #1):HH League Story 122 - D3 - O Malley Week 6 - Really Going for the win E0.png

And there you have it, folks. I'm SO glad this paid off. I really banked on it, and although my observations and calculations on the rest of the field and mostly on Dr T seemed reasonable, I couldn't be absolutely sure until the end. Now, I can actually afford PoA. ^^

Oh hey, @Moonlynx. Thanks for the vote of confidence. ^^ I haven't done my checks for the new league yet. I needed to get back from my little trip on my magic cloud from this Trifecta Day sheer bliss. I'll let you know if you should save your AM boosters in my estimation. No idea what I'm up against yet.
EDIT1: Alright, I'm done with my checks, but I don't see you. I don't remember you posting screenshots recently; do you have a different nickname in game?
EDIT2: Okay, found it, you're Ari level 477. Okay, I don't usually divulge my predictions beforehand, but I'll make an exception here. The top spot will almost certainly be the outcome of a fierce battle between Lili, Harlequin and myself, and on top of that there are two underdogs who are likely to contest at least the 4th spot.
Contenders for top 4: ME, Lili, Harlequin
Maybe: mikel (469/750), Squirt42 (445/750 top team)
The rest of the field isn't particularly strong, but there are multiple players with strong teams who might go for it as well. So yeah, having checked where you're at compared to the above, I would save those AM boosters for a more favorable week. ^^

Good luck have fun this week, folks. Stay safe!

Edited by DvDivXXX
For Moonlyx slash Ari ^^
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Another week in D3, started at level 478, finished at level 481.

Screenshot taken just before the end of the league. 

324191232_Screenshot_20220526-125946_KiwiBrowser.thumb.jpg.f51daee68508db138b784e025192a868.jpg

Final rank: 3rd

Boosters used : 18 legendaries (1 cordycep / 2 gingseng 6 times). 0.15 mythic booster.

100 players -> 99 opponents -> 297 possible fights -> 297 fights performed -> 297 wins and 0 loss

I used a mythic booster for the last 15 fights just to avoid finishing 5th , a few points behind the 4th. With 107 points between the 1st and the 5th, it was a compact top 4 this week.
Since I'll need mythic boosters if I want to hope finishing in top 4 this week again, the use of a mythic booster was very cost-effective.
Apparently, a top 1 was achievable this week but this top 4 is fine to me.

Have a good week and take care. 

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Unfortuantely I wasn´t around during reset so I had to finish my league a few hours early:

My 2nd on hh and my 1st on nutaku both held (also thanks @Liliat for the screenshot with the final score...damnit.. I should have used a few AM .. I expected Lemus to do much better tbh :D ..well could have made 1st I guess but there´s nothing to be changed now ^^)

no time for a screen so I´ll just post my excel of the top 15 ^^

 

nutaku

Bildschirmfoto 2022-05-26 um 15.57.22.png

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3 hours ago, Rarum said:

Was that with three AMEs? Maybe some of your last fights were without.

Had something like the last 7 players to do without AME and had to finish on Monday due to work, so my last few fights were non-optimal. Congrats on your victory and hope the "revenge" tastes sweet. 😛

Thanks for the snapshot as I was at work at changeover time. 👍

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congrats to our korean friend shin. He has always been a tough competitor, and this time he took the first place.

I did an honorable second with 7062 points (23,54 average). As always no AME needed.

good play for Snorkk and barbenoire reaching the Top4 podium

imagen.png.f87bc4b3888af5246994ce7d09e840ce.png

The next week I am in a pool full of sharks, so even top 4 will be difficult.

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