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Arena win probability


Dmytro
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What is the probability to win in the arena at the steady state?

I win most of my arena fights.  My guess is that even after Mojo settles (i.e. at the steady state), the win probability is much better if you are ahead of typical players at your level rather than behind them.  Note that high win probability at the steady state is essentially the same as being matched with opponents that give a low amount of Mojo on winning.

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It really depens, for me the probability was for a long time 100% because I only played bots, right now I have 1(!) player in my range against whom I lose 1 out of 20 times. Another reason is your level: If you are under 360 or maybe 380 most of the time you will play against player who arent boosted all the time or have maxed stats, so yes, your probabiltiy will be higher.

And sure, opponents with low mojo are most likely not as strong as you are (one of the exceptions could be his/her inactivity and you gain a difference through fighting others).

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