Antimon Posted June 19, 2020 Author Share Posted June 19, 2020 (edited) Il 12/6/2020 in 19:58 , Sev ha scritto: Sure, that's one possible explanation. But... if the two cases are indeed so similar in their essence, then why your results are only called bad luck and still included in our cumulative rates, but mine... silently considered as biased and instantly sent to nothingness? 😂 I confirm that I didn't take those into account just because they were test server's data: until now, Zamio's data were definetely closer to your test server's % (with a considerably amount of fights less than yours, but still a drop chance>1,20%), and his data are in the table. Before publishing the new overall report I wanted to wait the updates from a couple of players in the shard drops topic, but I anticipate you that, for science, I'll try to add aside your massive test server sample and see what happens. Edited June 19, 2020 by Antimon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jelom Posted June 19, 2020 Share Posted June 19, 2020 Update: The pendulum swinged and I am enjoying the good part of the RNG, I have reached 100 orbs in 9628 battles (1,04%) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderator DvDivXXX Posted June 22, 2020 Moderator Share Posted June 22, 2020 (edited) New page, new post (to be updated daily instead of the previous one): 191 orbs in 18,499 battles 127 orbs in 681 missions September done for me. Edited September 30, 2020 by DvDivXXX updated 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karyia Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 June (19 orbs): - 14 days with 0 orbs; - 13 days with 1 orb; - 3 days with 2 orbs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antimon Posted July 1, 2020 Author Share Posted July 1, 2020 Here I am with the update. Sorry for the delay. - 93 epic pachinko orbs in 8206 troll fights (~1,13%, +18 orbs in 1397 fights) - 90 epic pachinko orbs from missions in 140 days (0/3 in 68 days, 1/3 in 56 days, 2/3 in 14 days 3/3 in 2 days, ~21,43%, +23 orbs in 30 days/90 missions) - With this month updates, the overall orbs drop chance from troll fights got slightly better: with a pool of 61842 total fights and 667 orbs, the overall orbs drop chance from troll fights is now ~1,08% (it was ~1,04%), that means 1 orb every ~92,59 fights. Adding @Sev's extremely good data from test server, we reach a pool of 78119 fights with 873 orbs, that correspond to a ~1,12% orbs drop chance from troll fights (1 in 89,29 fights, with a difference of "only" 3 fights from considering live server's data alone) - With a pool of 2100 epic missions (we broke through the 2000 missions milestone, thanks to all of you for sticking with this project for this long☺️) and 446 orbs, the overall chance of an epic pachinko orb from missions is now ~21,24% (it was ~21,11%), which means 1 orb in ~4,71 epic missions. Since both of the orb rates slightly improved during this month, the same thing goes with the "weekly estimations": 4,46 orbs/week from missions (it was 4,43) + 3,78 orbs/week from free fights* (3,92 with test server data; it was 3,64)= 8,24 orbs/week (8,38 with test server data). So we have again an ~8 orbs in 7 days average, with a +1 "bonus orb" during the course of a month. I'll try to make the next update around the 20th of July, after the orgy days event, but it's very likely that it'll be at the end of July. Thanks to all of you, and see you next time 😉 * : I considered 350 free fights in a week, 50 in a day (48 + at least 1 from daily contest + 1 from partitioning the 3CP arena rewards). I didn't take in account leagues CP rewards, so this should be the very minimum for an active player 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderator DvDivXXX Posted July 1, 2020 Moderator Share Posted July 1, 2020 (edited) Thanks a lot for another great data compilation and summary, Antimon. Isn't funny (and perhaps encouraging) that I have the largest (live server) sample among us, and somehow my own average always seems to be in sync with our collective average? ^^ Edit: for fights, that is. I seem to be the resident holder of the shortest straw in terms of mission drops. Edited July 1, 2020 by DvDivXXX 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zamio Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 100% today. First time this happens. Haven't been recording my missions rate however, I'm not particularly lucky on first impression. I'll try to keep tabs going forward. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_shal_ Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 (edited) Seems I'm out of the mainstream on both: Villains: 136 / 11,180 (1.22%) Missions: 73 / 459 (15.90%) Edited July 13, 2020 by _shal_ 73, not 74 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antimon Posted August 3, 2020 Author Share Posted August 3, 2020 Here I am with July report (updated with July 31st data) - 106 epic pachinko orbs in 10079 troll fights (~1,05%, +13 orbs in 1873 fights) - 106 epic pachinko orbs from missions in 171 days (0/3 in 86 days, 1/3 in 66 days, 2/3 in 17 days 3/3 in 2 days, ~20,66%, +16 orbs in 31 days/93 missions) Thank you @_shal_ for sharing your data! - The overall orbs drop chance from troll fights remained unchanged: with a pool of 80466 total fights and 872 orbs, the overall orbs drop chance from troll fights is again ~1,08%, that means 1 orb every ~92,59 fights (while the live + test server total shrinked a bit, from ~1,12% to ~1,11% drop rate, 1 orbs in 90,09 fights, with a difference of 2,5 fights from considering live server's data alone) - With a pool of 2742 epic missions and 551 orbs, the overall chance of an epic pachinko orb from missions is now ~20,09% (we lost an entire percentage point, it was ~21,11%), which means 1 orb in ~4,98 epic missions. For the "weekly estimations", we have 4,21 orbs/week from missions (it was 4,46) + 3,78 orbs/week from free fights* (3,89 with test server data)= 7,99 orbs/week (8,10 with test server data). So, again, we have an ~8 orbs in 7 days average. * : I considered 350 free fights in a week, 50 in a day (48 + at least 1 from daily contest + 1 from partitioning the 3CP arena rewards). I didn't take in account leagues CP rewards, so this should be the very minimum for an active player 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jelom Posted August 5, 2020 Share Posted August 5, 2020 Update: 142 orbs in 13549 battles (1,05%) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antimon Posted September 1, 2020 Author Share Posted September 1, 2020 Here's August report, sorry for the delay - with a pool of 90831 total fights and 981 orbs, the overall orbs drop chance from troll fights is again ~1,08%, that means 1 orb every ~92,59 fights (the live + test server total remained the same, too, with a ~1,11% drop rate, 1 orbs in 90,09 fights, with a difference of 2,5 fights from considering live server's data alone); - With a pool of 2922 epic missions and 586 orbs, the overall chance of an epic pachinko orb from missions is now ~20,05% (It diminished a little, it was ~20,09%), which means 1 orb in ~4,99 epic missions The change regarding orbs from mission is so little that the "weekly estimations" are unchanged: we have 4,21 orbs/week from missions + 3,78 orbs/week from free fights* (3,89 with test server data)= 7,99 orbs/week (8,10 with test server data) on average * : I considered 350 free fights in a week, 50 in a day (48 + at least 1 from daily contest + 1 from partitioning the 3CP arena rewards). I didn't take in account leagues CP rewards, so this should be the very minimum for an active player 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderator DvDivXXX Posted September 1, 2020 Moderator Share Posted September 1, 2020 3 hours ago, Antimon said: Here's August report, sorry for the delay What delay? You've posted this on the very first day of the next month! That's very timely as far as I'm concerned. Thanks a ton again for keeping this up to date. Great work as usual. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antimon Posted September 1, 2020 Author Share Posted September 1, 2020 48 minuti fa, DvDivXXX ha scritto: What delay? You've posted this on the very first day of the next month! That's very timely as far as I'm concerned. Thanks a ton again for keeping this up to date. Great work as usual. My original plan was to post this yesterday right after reset time 😅 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jelom Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Update: 161 orbs in 15207 battles (1,06%) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderator DvDivXXX Posted September 25, 2020 Moderator Share Posted September 25, 2020 Bump. That thread belongs near the top of the page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jelom Posted September 25, 2020 Share Posted September 25, 2020 Update: 186 orbs in 17007 battles (1,09%) A lot of orb drops lately are drifting my average near to 1,1% 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zamio Posted September 30, 2020 Share Posted September 30, 2020 End of September. won't be spending more CPs on the last day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antimon Posted September 30, 2020 Author Share Posted September 30, 2020 September report is here! - with a pool of 100690 total fights (we reached and passed the 100k total fights milestone, congrats to all of us 😉) and 1094 orbs, the overall orbs drop chance from troll fights rose a tiny bit up to ~1,09% (it was 1,08%), that means 1 orb every ~91,74 fights (the live + test server total remained the same, with a ~1,11% drop rate, 1 orbs in 90,09 fights, with a difference of 1,65 fights/orb from considering live server's data alone); - With a pool of 3096 epic missions and 619 orbs, the overall chance of an epic pachinko orb from missions is now ~19,99% (It diminished again, it was ~20,05%), which means 1 orb in ~5,00 epic missions These little changes made the "weekly estimations" rise a bit: we have 4,2 orbs/week from missions + 3,82 orbs/week from free fights* (3,89 with test server data)= 8,02 orbs/week (8,09 with test server data) on average * : I considered 350 free fights in a week, 50 in a day (48 + at least 1 from daily contest + 1 from partitioning the 3CP arena rewards). I didn't take in account leagues CP rewards, so this should be the very minimum for an active player 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderator DvDivXXX Posted October 1, 2020 Moderator Share Posted October 1, 2020 (edited) Fresh post for my first October update. 229 orbs in 21,345 battles 141 orbs in 771 missions Thanks for the hard work, @Antimon. Much appreciated as usual. Update: That's my final count for October. Edited October 31, 2020 by DvDivXXX updated 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zamio Posted October 30, 2020 Share Posted October 30, 2020 my Epic Orb rates standing as of the end of October, won't be spending CPs in the last two days 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jelom Posted October 30, 2020 Share Posted October 30, 2020 Update: 209 orbs in 19623 battles (1,07%) After a long time of increasing average, the pendulum of RNG has swinged and my average has decreased during this month. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antimon Posted November 2, 2020 Author Share Posted November 2, 2020 (edited) October report here, a little bit late (sorry, It has been a rough weekend) - With a pool of 111572 total fights and 1218 orbs, the overall orbs drop chance from troll fights reconfirms at ~1,09% , that means 1 orb every ~91,74 fights (the live + test server total remained the same, too, with a ~1,11% drop rate, 1 orbs in 90,09 fights, with a difference of 1,65 fights/orb from considering live server's data alone); - With a pool of 3276 epic missions and 651 orbs, the overall chance of an epic pachinko orb from missions is now ~19,87% (It diminished a little, again, it was ~19,99%), which means 1 orb in ~5,03 epic missions These little change made the "weekly estimations" diminish a bit: we have 4,17 orbs/week from missions + 3,82 orbs/week from free fights* (3,89 with test server data)= 7,99 orbs/week (8,06 with test server data) on average * : I considered 350 free fights in a week, 50 in a day (48 + at least 1 from daily contest + 1 from partitioning the 3CP arena rewards). I didn't take in account leagues CP rewards, so this should be the very minimum for an active player. this will probably be the last time, according to the new feature's rewards. I think I won't consider season's CPs rewards for the "weekly estimations", since they are not daily anymore, nor completely achievable by every single active player. Edited November 3, 2020 by Antimon 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderator DvDivXXX Posted November 3, 2020 Moderator Share Posted November 3, 2020 (edited) Thanks a ton, @Antimon I'll resume in this post for November. 265 orbs in 25,597 battles 178 orbs in 951 missions Updated: end of December. Edited December 31, 2020 by DvDivXXX updated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zamio Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 end of November update 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jelom2 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Update: 241 orbs in 22094 battles (1,09%) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Please sign in to comment
You will be able to leave a comment after signing in
Sign In Now