vorack Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 Today i used 127 mythic orbs with three girls available and got 0. Then i decided to use 54 Epic orbs and again got 0 girls and the big thing is i also got 0 pieces of legendary equipment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderator holymolly Posted December 15, 2021 Moderator Share Posted December 15, 2021 just rng f++ing you up probably... I´ve needed more than 300 MyP orbs for girls several times in the past and I´m also currently on a 92 EpP orbs without a girl run on my main account but I got 2 girls within 19 MyP orbs and 2 girls within 40 EpP orbs on nutaku Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liliat Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 il y a 27 minutes, holymolly a dit : just rng f++ing you up probably... Not necessarily, for once. There are not a lot of participants in the MP thread, but Pachinko rewards have been modified recently, and so far, the MP drop rates appear to be way below the expected 1/50 rate (More like 1/100 to 1/200). Unfortunately, there isn't enough data yet (It's only been 1 week). It could also be that some players are more likely to report their bad runs than their daily runs, which would make the stats look worse than they are. But it's at least worth checking. Hopefully, we'll be able to collect some data during the next Pachinko contests (LC at the latest ) 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Croy Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 (edited) Well, the rate appears to be way below it was. I like the changes giving me the opportunity to finally get behind the high level players by getting more good books and att, but before i got one girl in around 35 draws in mythic pachinko. At the beginning of the week i spent over 100 and nothing. That's... unbelievable... Edited December 15, 2021 by Croy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natstar Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 The problem is they never released the drop rates for epic/mythic single orbs so that does allow them to either increase or decrease drop rates if they want. i have noticed a change in the amount people have needed to spend to get girl drops ever since gems were added to pachinko. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Methos2 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 I'm reading a lot "bad luck" from forum and from club. I myself haven't gotten a girl lately with hundreds of 1x myth orbs and dozens of epic orbs. We should get another survey done. How should we proceed? How was the statistic done last time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrXY Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 I'm also experencing "bad luck" at the moment. I'm not collecting data but it feels that the chances were modified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonlynx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 (edited) 15 hours ago, Liliat said: [...] the expected 1/50 rate [...] Oh? I've always thought it was 1/75. Which is almost exactly my usual drop rate in the Mythic Pachinko. I was quite happy with that... until now. 😜 For the last Mythic Girl I used up 176 Orbs recently. For the one before... close to 200 if I remember it right. And the drop rate for equipment in the Epic Pachinko seems to be really low now. Got nothing out of the last 50 Epic Orbs, just like @vorack. So, yes, maybe they changed something there. Can't say anything about the drop rate of Epic Pachinko girls yet. Seems lower to me for quite a while now, but this could just be bad luck. Edited December 16, 2021 by Moonlynx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pelinor Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 The Patch Notes numbers 47 & 49 several things were changed in the Event, Epic, and Great Pachinko games to make room for gems and books. No mention was made regarding the drop rate for girls but it wouldn't be a big surprise to discover the girl drop rate was changed without mention. I have not noticed such a change (my averages are still between 70-80 spins to get a girl), but it is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liliat Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 il y a 29 minutes, Moonlynx a dit : Oh? I've always thought it was 1/75. Which is almost exactly my usual drop rate in the Mythic Pachinko. I was always quite happy with that... until now. 😜 I believe it was 1/100 (1/110?) for players with Avatars, and 1/50 (1/55?) for players with an empty avatar pool (Because the Avatars had a 50% drop rate; so once they were gone, your chances to get anything else doubled). Since KK removed the Avatars, maybe it's ~1/100 for everyone now. That's just a guess. Il y a 3 heures, Methos2 a dit : We should get another survey done. How should we proceed? How was the statistic done last time? You can post your MP results here: (If you're participating, just make sure you post your results regularly, and not just when you have really bad luck or really good luck ) There's a similar thread for EpP: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Methos2 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 26 minutes ago, Liliat said: You can post your MP results here: Is anyone compiling the data? It's hard to draw any conclusion by reading bunch of posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liliat Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 il y a 8 minutes, Methos2 a dit : Is anyone compiling the data? It's hard to draw any conclusion by reading bunch of posts. There's not much to compile yet. It's only been a week since the last patch, and less than 10 girls drops have been reported since. But current rates are somewhere between 1/100 and 1/200. We need more data! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderator bolitho76 Posted December 16, 2021 Moderator Share Posted December 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Liliat said: I believe it was 1/100 (1/110?) for players with Avatars, and 1/50 (1/55?) for players with an empty avatar pool (Because the Avatars had a 50% drop rate; so once they were gone, your chances to get anything else doubled). Since KK removed the Avatars, maybe it's ~1/100 for everyone now. That's just a guess. Sadly the system works not in this way. It works mostly like the Girls on bosses. The Chance for Girls was always the same. If Avatars avalaible, they drop with 50%. If they are not avalaible there range would added to the Books and Booster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderator FinderKeeper Posted December 16, 2021 Moderator Share Posted December 16, 2021 3 hours ago, Liliat said: We need more data! Absolutely! Confirmation bias can be really strong with this one. For those still having doubts, try to look at it like this: 1/50 chance is an average. And for it to be average, you can have many girl drops after 20-40 orbs and then a single unlucky streak, like mine, for hundreds of orbs. We need much more hard data before we can start assuming the chances. Preferrably thousands of orbs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gotaku Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 I agree we need more data, but I have been experiencing more and longer bad luck streaks recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trunks2585 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Just posted my data, I noticed a major drop as well. And here I thought I was doing good saving up my single pull orbs. Should have known that would mean I need twice as much or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaybeRegret Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 359 mythic orbs to get first girl and 91 to get second. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaybeRegret Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 So, I have 3 girls available and 805 mythical orbs. Let's see what I get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Attirm Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 3 hours ago, MaybeRegret said: So, I have 3 girls available and 805 mythical orbs. Let's see what I get. You should be able to get them all. In my experience over the last few months (where I have felt it being a bit stingier) it's about 100 MP orbs on average to get 1 girl. A bad streak might require 200 per girl, a lucky streak might require 50 per girl, but with 800 you should have more than enough to get all three. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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