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Identifying the Dicktator league brackets


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On 8/8/2019 at 8:41 PM, Habi said:

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 47:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 1x102, 1x103 reported: prediction of 3382 is very likely.
  • d2: 4x103, 3x104 reported: prediction of 2280 is very likely.
  • d3: 3x101, 1x102 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1723 total (11x101, 6x102) as confirmed.

updated predictions:

Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140
Season 41: 45xx / 2887 / 1785 / 1215
Season 42: 46xx / 2977 / 1875 / 1290
Season 43: 47xx / 3067 / 1950 / 1380
Season 44: 48xx / 3157 / 2025 / 1468
Season 45: 48xx / 3247 / 2100 / 1558
Season 46: 49xx / 3322 / 2175 / 1648
Season 47: 50xx? / 3382 / 2280 / 1723
Season 48: 51xx? / 3472? / 2370 / 1798
Season 49: 52xx? / 3562? / 2445? / 1873
Season 50: 53xx? / 3652? / 2520? / 1963?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 48:

  • d1: 1x102 reported: prediction of 3472 is possible but a lower pool than predicted due to another s3 stall is aswell. more reports especially of other sizes than 102 would be cool.
  • d2: 6x103 reported: prediction of 2370 is very likely and only 1 group with a different size (104) expected.
  • d3: 2x105, 4x106 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1798 total (4x105, 13x106) as confirmed.

updated predictions (removed some old seasons, add seasons 51-55):

Season 46: 49xx / 3322 / 2175 / 1648
Season 47: 50xx / 3382 / 2280 / 1723
Season 48: 51xx? / 3472 / 2370 / 1798
Season 49: 52xx? / 3562? / 2445 / 1873
Season 50: 53xx? / 3652? / 2520? / 1963
Season 51: 54xx? / 3742? / 2595? / 2053?

Season 52: 55xx? / 3817? / 2700? / 2128?
Season 53: 56xx? / 3907? / 2775? / 2218?
Season 54: 57xx? / 3982? / 2880? / 2293?
Season 55: 58xx? / 4087? / 2955? / 2383?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...
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8 hours ago, snowman22 said:

My D2 has Bob 379 as top with 102 players total.

And here it is, as I am in the same Dicktator II:

blob.png.f63dc96960ea115679e5749b50201aa5.png

Not super-great rushers up to now, although while writing this I am 29th with 601 points (with a few losses) and #1 is already near 1100 points... the small curiosity is that there are two french players both named Bob (the second does not appear only by a little in the picture, as he is level 362)...

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On 8/15/2019 at 9:01 PM, Habi said:

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 48:

  • d1: 1x102 reported: prediction of 3472 is possible but a lower pool than predicted due to another s3 stall is aswell. more reports especially of other sizes than 102 would be cool.
  • d2: 6x103 reported: prediction of 2370 is very likely and only 1 group with a different size (104) expected.
  • d3: 2x105, 4x106 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1798 total (4x105, 13x106) as confirmed.

updated predictions (removed some old seasons, add seasons 51-55):

Season 46: 49xx / 3322 / 2175 / 1648
Season 47: 50xx / 3382 / 2280 / 1723
Season 48: 51xx? / 3472 / 2370 / 1798
Season 49: 52xx? / 3562? / 2445 / 1873
Season 50: 53xx? / 3652? / 2520? / 1963
Season 51: 54xx? / 3742? / 2595? / 2053?

Season 52: 55xx? / 3817? / 2700? / 2128?
Season 53: 56xx? / 3907? / 2775? / 2218?
Season 54: 57xx? / 3982? / 2880? / 2293?
Season 55: 58xx? / 4087? / 2955? / 2383?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 49:

  • d1: 1x101 reported: looks like the d1 pool enters a region where reliable predictions are becoming impossible. without getting at least 28 reports of 101 player groups or 13 reports of 102 player groups i can't say if the player pool is 3562 as predicted or is just 3547 (due to another s3 stall). so until it can be proven backwards it will remain marked as uncertain. the predictions table might need to be adapted in some weeks and shift the uncertain assumptions from s3 to d1.
  • d2: 1x101, 6x102 reported: prediction of 2445 is very likely.
  • d3: 1x104, 4x105 reported: looks like i had a calculation mistake (due to the downcorrection of s48 prediction) and had all d3 values from s49 to s54 too low by 15 players. coincidentially s55 was correct because of the change of group count in s54. i corrected all values. because it was a calculation mistake and not a wrong prediction i won't colorize it. and here's the usual d3 text: i just assume the prediction of 1888 total (2x104, 16x105) as confirmed.

updated predictions (can't eliminate more ? as long as no d1 are reported):

Season 46: 49xx / 3322 / 2175 / 1648
Season 47: 50xx / 3382 / 2280 / 1723
Season 48: 51xx? / 3472 / 2370 / 1798
Season 49: 52xx? / 3562? / 2445 / 1888
Season 50: 53xx? / 3652? / 2520? / 1978
Season 51: 54xx? / 3742? / 2595? / 2068?

Season 52: 55xx? / 3817? / 2700? / 2143?
Season 53: 56xx? / 3907? / 2775? / 2233?
Season 54: 57xx? / 3982? / 2880? / 2308?
Season 55: 58xx? / 4087? / 2955? / 2383?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...
Edited by Habi
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