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Identifying the Dicktator league brackets


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On 7/25/2019 at 7:30 PM, Habi said:

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 45:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 1x102 reported: the prediction of 3247 is very likely. a report of a 101 group would be nice to confirm it.
  • d2: 8x100 reported: prediction of 2100 is very likely. looks like the minor banwave the week before didn't affect players in d2 or we wouldn't see that plain numbers here now.
  • d3: 1x103, 2x104 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1558 total (2x103, 13x104) as confirmed.

updated predictions (looks like the s3 growth stabilized itself a little. but i expect the next stall pretty soon):

Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140
Season 41: 45xx / 2887 / 1785 / 1215
Season 42: 46xx / 2977 / 1875 / 1290
Season 43: 47xx / 3067 / 1950 / 1380
Season 44: 48xx? / 3157 / 2025 / 1468
Season 45: 49xx? / 3247 / 2100 / 1558
Season 46: 50xx? / 3337? / 2175 / 1648
Season 47: 51xx? / 3412? / 2280? / 1723
Season 48: 52xx? / 3487? / 2385? / 1798?
Season 49: 53xx? / 3592? / 2460? / 1873?
Season 50: 54xx? / 3697? / 2535? / 1963?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 46:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 2x100 reported: the prediction of 3337 looks to be wrong. corrected down to 3322. looks like another s3 growth stall as predicted last week.
  • d2: 2x103, 4x104 reported: prediction of 2175 is very likely.
  • d3: 4x103 reported: no groups of other sizes expected. i just assume the prediction of 1648 total (16x103) as confirmed.

updated predictions:

Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140
Season 41: 45xx / 2887 / 1785 / 1215
Season 42: 46xx / 2977 / 1875 / 1290
Season 43: 47xx / 3067 / 1950 / 1380
Season 44: 48xx / 3157 / 2025 / 1468
Season 45: 48xx / 3247 / 2100 / 1558
Season 46: 49xx? / 3322 / 2175 / 1648
Season 47: 50xx? / 3382? / 2280 / 1723
Season 48: 51xx? / 3472? / 2370? / 1798
Season 49: 52xx? / 3562? / 2445? / 1873?
Season 50: 53xx? / 3652? / 2520? / 1963?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...

full-transparency-sidenote: when correcting the predictions down i noticed that the season 50 d1 prediction was wrong since it was added on july 15. it said 3597 instead of 3697. i backwards-corrected it on all previous occurrences.

Edited by Habi
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2 hours ago, DHarry said:

I'm with @jelom this week. And I was so proud I managed to beat him because he let his boosters wear off I just had to add it to the picture. :P 

 

Good luck though, go beat Master Horndog for the win ok? ;)  

Jelom.jpg

good luck with horndog.

but: how big is your group? 😉

.

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On 8/1/2019 at 10:46 PM, Habi said:

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 46:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 2x100 reported: the prediction of 3337 looks to be wrong. corrected down to 3322. looks like another s3 growth stall as predicted last week.
  • d2: 2x103, 4x104 reported: prediction of 2175 is very likely.
  • d3: 4x103 reported: no groups of other sizes expected. i just assume the prediction of 1648 total (16x103) as confirmed.

updated predictions:

Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140
Season 41: 45xx / 2887 / 1785 / 1215
Season 42: 46xx / 2977 / 1875 / 1290
Season 43: 47xx / 3067 / 1950 / 1380
Season 44: 48xx / 3157 / 2025 / 1468
Season 45: 48xx / 3247 / 2100 / 1558
Season 46: 49xx? / 3322 / 2175 / 1648
Season 47: 50xx? / 3382? / 2280 / 1723
Season 48: 51xx? / 3472? / 2370? / 1798
Season 49: 52xx? / 3562? / 2445? / 1873?
Season 50: 53xx? / 3652? / 2520? / 1963?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...

full-transparency-sidenote: when correcting the predictions down i noticed that the season 50 d1 prediction was wrong since it was added on july 15. it said 3597 instead of 3697. i backwards-corrected it on all previous occurrences.

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 47:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 1x102, 1x103 reported: prediction of 3382 is very likely.
  • d2: 4x103, 3x104 reported: prediction of 2280 is very likely.
  • d3: 3x101, 1x102 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1723 total (11x101, 6x102) as confirmed.

updated predictions:

Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140
Season 41: 45xx / 2887 / 1785 / 1215
Season 42: 46xx / 2977 / 1875 / 1290
Season 43: 47xx / 3067 / 1950 / 1380
Season 44: 48xx / 3157 / 2025 / 1468
Season 45: 48xx / 3247 / 2100 / 1558
Season 46: 49xx / 3322 / 2175 / 1648
Season 47: 50xx? / 3382 / 2280 / 1723
Season 48: 51xx? / 3472? / 2370 / 1798
Season 49: 52xx? / 3562? / 2445? / 1873
Season 50: 53xx? / 3652? / 2520? / 1963?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...
Edited by Habi
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