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Identifying the Dicktator league brackets


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8 minutes ago, Andy86 said:

The same as mine, so I don't have anything else to say XD Time will tell if I should have remained in D1 a bit longer... :P

The normally chill and slow D2 was for some reason very competitive last season, so it may be a bit tougher this time around but regardless of that, I wish You the best of luck and hope that You can find a comfy spot here in D2. ✌😉

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On 7/15/2019 at 3:59 PM, Habi said:

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 43:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 4x102 reported: the prediction of 3067 is very likely. a report of a 103 would be nice to confirm it.
  • d2: 3x102, 3x103 reported: prediction of 1950 is very likely.
  • d3: 4x106, 1x107 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1380 total (11x106, 2x107) as confirmed.

updated predictions (added season up to 50):

Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140
Season 41: 45xx / 2887 / 1785 / 1215
Season 42: 46xx / 2977 / 1875 / 1290
Season 43: 47xx? / 3067 / 1950 / 1380
Season 44: 48xx? / 3157? / 2025 / 1470
Season 45: 49xx? / 3247? / 2100? / 1560
Season 46: 50xx? / 3337? / 2175? / 1650?
Season 47: 51xx? / 3412? / 2280? / 1725?
Season 48: 52xx? / 3487? / 2385? / 1800?
Season 49: 53xx? / 3592? / 2475? / 1875?
Season 50: 54xx? / 3697? / 2550? / 1965?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell.
  • ...

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 44:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 1x101, 2x102 reported: the prediction of 3157 is very likely.
  • d2: 2x101, 1x102 reported: prediction of 2025 is very likely.
  • d3: 1x104, 5x105 reported: now we have a special case here. usually we shouldn't see groups with a size other than 105. but last season there was a small ban wave. i observed one banned player in my own group and i know of another one for sure from a credible source so it can only be 1468 players at max. since we are not allowed to namecall banned players the only way to precisely detect their count would be to identify all 14 d3 groups this week and in consequence also do the same for d2 and d1 (because banning is not limited to d3 players only). knowing this is not realistic i assume it was only those 2 i know of and continue with that number until proven otherwise. i won't flag the possibly affected numbers because that would mean flagging all numbers starting with this season for all eternity and that makes no sense. instead i just try to remember this being an issue if the predictions seem to be off by an amount smaller than 15 and adjust the numbers accordingly. if you have further/relevant infos on this issue for me feel free to pm me on discord @Habi#1493 

updated predictions (...):

Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140
Season 41: 45xx / 2887 / 1785 / 1215
Season 42: 46xx / 2977 / 1875 / 1290
Season 43: 47xx / 3067 / 1950 / 1380
Season 44: 48xx? / 3157 / 2025 / 1468
Season 45: 49xx? / 3247? / 2100 / 1558
Season 46: 50xx? / 3337? / 2175? / 1648
Season 47: 51xx? / 3412? / 2280? / 1723?
Season 48: 52xx? / 3487? / 2385? / 1798?
Season 49: 53xx? / 3592? / 2460? / 1873?
Season 50: 54xx? / 3697? / 2535? / 1963?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...
Edited by Habi
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3 hours ago, Observer_X said:

My second Dicktator II league (102 players, from level 265 to level 369):

blob.png.6d6b8a6a5b85e185135338ab7665b76f.png 

Congrats for the speed to roml that after 6 minutes past 5:00am had already scored himself as winner.

Funny, I had the same two highest-levelled players in last week's D2. (And got to watch rom1 boost up during the final day and then start tanking out of the top 15 in preparation for the rush.)

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On 7/18/2019 at 8:18 PM, Habi said:

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 44:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 1x101, 2x102 reported: the prediction of 3157 is very likely.
  • d2: 2x101, 1x102 reported: prediction of 2025 is very likely.
  • d3: 1x104, 5x105 reported: now we have a special case here. usually we shouldn't see groups with a size other than 105. but last season there was a small ban wave. i observed one banned player in my own group and i know of another one for sure from a credible source so it can only be 1468 players at max. since we are not allowed to namecall banned players the only way to precisely detect their count would be to identify all 14 d3 groups this week and in consequence also do the same for d2 and d1 (because banning is not limited to d3 players only). knowing this is not realistic i assume it was only those 2 i know of and continue with that number until proven otherwise. i won't flag the possibly affected numbers because that would mean flagging all numbers starting with this season for all eternity and that makes no sense. instead i just try to remember this being an issue if the predictions seem to be off by an amount smaller than 15 and adjust the numbers accordingly. if you have further/relevant infos on this issue for me feel free to pm me on discord @Habi#1493 

updated predictions (...):

Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140
Season 41: 45xx / 2887 / 1785 / 1215
Season 42: 46xx / 2977 / 1875 / 1290
Season 43: 47xx / 3067 / 1950 / 1380
Season 44: 48xx? / 3157 / 2025 / 1468
Season 45: 49xx? / 3247? / 2100 / 1558
Season 46: 50xx? / 3337? / 2175? / 1648
Season 47: 51xx? / 3412? / 2280? / 1723?
Season 48: 52xx? / 3487? / 2385? / 1798?
Season 49: 53xx? / 3592? / 2460? / 1873?
Season 50: 54xx? / 3697? / 2535? / 1963?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 45:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 1x102 reported: the prediction of 3247 is very likely. a report of a 101 group would be nice to confirm it.
  • d2: 8x100 reported: prediction of 2100 is very likely. looks like the minor banwave the week before didn't affect players in d2 or we wouldn't see that plain numbers here now.
  • d3: 1x103, 2x104 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1558 total (2x103, 13x104) as confirmed.

updated predictions (looks like the s3 growth stabilized itself a little. but i expect the next stall pretty soon):

Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140
Season 41: 45xx / 2887 / 1785 / 1215
Season 42: 46xx / 2977 / 1875 / 1290
Season 43: 47xx / 3067 / 1950 / 1380
Season 44: 48xx? / 3157 / 2025 / 1468
Season 45: 49xx? / 3247 / 2100 / 1558
Season 46: 50xx? / 3337? / 2175 / 1648
Season 47: 51xx? / 3412? / 2280? / 1723
Season 48: 52xx? / 3487? / 2385? / 1798?
Season 49: 53xx? / 3592? / 2460? / 1873?
Season 50: 54xx? / 3697? / 2535? / 1963?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...
Edited by Habi
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