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Identifying the Dicktator league brackets


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my d3 has 108 players with me being the highest lvl.

my alt's d3 also has 108 players with fran as highest lvl and gogeta the winner.

this week's wrapup will follow later. keep up the reports guys! 👌

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D3 with 109 players, currently still unperfected:

HH-S38-D3-sorted.png


5 rushing attempts so far, the top three of them (with 1, 2, and 2 losses) are in the screenshot.

I had a brief spell of megalomania and actually checked if I could win here with my puny level 317 account, but the top players would be out of range even if they were unboosted and I was with top boosters.

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12 hours ago, Habi said:

my d3 has 108 players with me being the highest lvl.

my alt's d3 also has 108 players with fran as highest lvl and gogeta the winner.

this week's wrapup will follow later. keep up the reports guys! 👌

.

I'm currently in the league with Fran and Gogeta.

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On 5/30/2019 at 10:24 PM, Habi said:

time for this weeks wrapup (or at least the attempt for it)

data collected so far for active season 37:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 3x101 reported: prediction of 2542 is possible. a report of a 100 or 102 group (if any exists) would be awesome. until known better i'll stick with the prediction.
  • d2: 7x103 reported: prediction of 1440 is very plausible. a report of a 102 group would be nice to confirm. until known better i'll stick with the prediction.
  • d3: 3x110/5x111 (885 total) confirmed as predicted.

updated predictions:

Season 32: 37xx / 2077 / 1020 / 510
Season 33: 38xx / 2182 / 1095 / 585
Season 34: 39xx / 2272 / 1170 / 660
Season 35: 40xx / 2362 / 1260 / 735
Season 36: 41xx / 2452 / 1350 / 810
Season 37: 42xx? / 2542 / 1440 / 885
Season 38: 43xx? / 2632? / 1515 / 975
Season 39: 44xx? / 2722? / 1590? / 1065
Season 40: 45xx? / 2797? / 1695? / 1140?
Season 41: 46xx? / 2902? / 1785? / 1215?
Season 42: 47xx? / 2977? / 1890? / 1290?
Season 43: 48xx? / 3082? / 1965? / 1380?
Season 44: 49xx? / 3187? / 2040? / 1470?
Season 45: 50xx? / 3292? / 2115? / 1560?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • several seasons in the future where the assumed s3 growth might start to slow down are marked italic. in other words: they are very likely slightly wrong.
  • ...

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 38:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 5x101 reported: prediction of 2632 is very likely. a report of a 100 or 102 group (if any exists) would be awesome. until known better i'll stick with the prediction.
  • d2: 3x101 reported: prediction of 1515 is very likely. groups with other sizes are not expected.
  • d3: 6x108/3x109 (975 total) confirmed as predicted.

updated predictions (removed some rather outdated seasons):

Season 36: 41xx / 2452 / 1350 / 810
Season 37: 42xx / 2542 / 1440 / 885
Season 38: 43xx? / 2632 / 1515 / 975
Season 39: 44xx? / 2722? / 1590 / 1065
Season 40: 45xx? / 2797? / 1695? / 1140
Season 41: 46xx? / 2902? / 1785? / 1215?
Season 42: 47xx? / 2977? / 1890? / 1290?
Season 43: 48xx? / 3082? / 1965? / 1380?
Season 44: 49xx? / 3187? / 2040? / 1470?
Season 45: 50xx? / 3292? / 2115? / 1560?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • several seasons in the future where the assumed s3 growth might start to slow down are marked italic. in other words: they are very likely slightly wrong.
  • ...
Edited by Habi
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On 6/7/2019 at 1:51 PM, Habi said:

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 38:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 5x101 reported: prediction of 2632 is very likely. a report of a 100 or 102 group (if any exists) would be awesome. until known better i'll stick with the prediction.
  • d2: 3x101 reported: prediction of 1515 is very likely. groups with other sizes are not expected.
  • d3: 6x108/3x109 (975 total) confirmed as predicted.

updated predictions (removed some rather outdated seasons):

Season 36: 41xx / 2452 / 1350 / 810
Season 37: 42xx / 2542 / 1440 / 885
Season 38: 43xx? / 2632 / 1515 / 975
Season 39: 44xx? / 2722? / 1590 / 1065
Season 40: 45xx? / 2797? / 1695? / 1140
Season 41: 46xx? / 2902? / 1785? / 1215?
Season 42: 47xx? / 2977? / 1890? / 1290?
Season 43: 48xx? / 3082? / 1965? / 1380?
Season 44: 49xx? / 3187? / 2040? / 1470?
Season 45: 50xx? / 3292? / 2115? / 1560?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • several seasons in the future where the assumed s3 growth might start to slow down are marked italic. in other words: they are very likely slightly wrong.
  • ...

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 39:

  • s3: ...
  • d1: 4x100, 1x101 reported: prediction of 2722 is still possible but would imply way more 101 groups than 100 groups. because the reports are the other way round i'll rather correct the prediction down to 2707. and that means season 38's s3 prediction of 43xx was only 42xx. looks like it doesn't severely effect the dicktator predictions until season 41. (see new coloring scheme in the legend)
  • d2: 2x106 reported: prediction of 1590 is very likely. groups with other sizes are not expected.
  • d3: 2x106, 4x107 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1065 total (5x106, 5x107) as confirmed.

updated predictions (still assuming s3 growth as before as it's too few data to reliably predict a slowdown curve, added season 46):

Season 36: 41xx / 2452 / 1350 / 810
Season 37: 42xx / 2542 / 1440 / 885
Season 38: 42xx / 2632 / 1515 / 975
Season 39: 43xx? / 2707 / 1590 / 1065
Season 40: 44xx? / 2767? / 1695 / 1140
Season 41: 45xx? / 2857? / 1785? / 1215
Season 42: 46xx? / 2947? / 1875? / 1290?
Season 43: 47xx? / 3037? / 1950? / 1380?
Season 44: 48xx? / 3127? / 2025? / 1470?
Season 45: 49xx? / 3217? / 2100? / 1560?
Season 46: 50xx? / 3307? / 2175? / 1650?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. this is a rather simple but hopefully effective visualization of how slowly corrections in the low tiers spread into the high tiers. (if you inspect this week's data you can see that i would have to add a lot more seasons to the predictions to make this effect more visible. but going too far into the future makes no sense imo)
  • several seasons in the future where the assumed s3 growth might start to slow down are marked italic. in other words: they are very likely slightly wrong.
  • ...
Edited by Habi
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