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Identifying the Dicktator league brackets


_shal_
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D2 with 101 players for me, top level Arvelak at 386. Hey, that rings a bell...oh, yeah:
 

On 9/26/2019 at 6:38 AM, _shal_ said:

Back to D2...101 players, top Arvelak at 382.

 

On 10/10/2019 at 11:18 AM, Zteev said:

I am once again in D2, with Arvelak as the highest level player out of the 102 players, currently at level 384.

I think we're stalking him.

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On 10/18/2019 at 9:13 PM, Habi said:

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 57:

  • d1: 1x101 reported: prediction of 4057 is very likely.
  • d2: 1x101, 3x102 reported: prediction of 3045 is confirmed. 3030 would not allow groups of size 102 and 3060 would not allow groups of size 101.
  • d3: 1x101, 3x102 reported: i just assume the prediction of 2548 total (2x101, 23x102) as confirmed.

updated predictions:

Season 51: 51xx / 3682 / 2580 / 2068
Season 52: 52xx / 3742 / 2670 / 2143
Season 53: 52xx / 3802 / 2760 / 2218
Season 54: 53xx / 3847 / 2850 / 2293
Season 55: 53xx / 3922 / 2910 / 2383

Season 56: 54xx? / 3982 / 2970 / 2473
Season 57: 54xx? / 4057? / 3045 / 2548
Season 58: 55xx? / 4117? / 3120? / 2623
Season 59: 55xx? / 4177? / 3195? / 2698?
Season 60: 56xx? / 4237? / 3270? / 2773?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...

time for this weeks wrapup. sorry for being late again, i had some busy days.

data collected so far for active season 58:

  • d1: 2x102 reported: prediction of 4117 looks kinda wrong. looks more like 4087. oh boy that will be some backcorrections... 😖 luckily i didn't add new predictions last week. 🤣 looks like the S3 stagnation is nearing with 4 times the same number of groups. i'm unsure how i will continue with this, maybe next week brings some insights.
  • d2: 1x100, 5x101 reported: prediction of 3120 is very likely.
  • d3: 1x100, 2x101 reported: i just assume the prediction of 2623 total (3x100, 23x101) as confirmed.

updated predictions:

Season 51: 51xx / 3682 / 2580 / 2068
Season 52: 52xx / 3742 / 2670 / 2143
Season 53: 52xx / 3802 / 2760 / 2218
Season 54: 53xx / 3847 / 2850 / 2293
Season 55: 53xx / 3922 / 2910 / 2383

Season 56: 53xx / 3982 / 2970 / 2473
Season 57: 53xx / 4042 / 3045 / 2548
Season 58: 54xx? / 4087? / 3120 / 2623
Season 59: 54xx? / 4162? / 3180? / 2698?
Season 60: 54xx? / 4207? / 3255? / 2773?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...
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On 10/27/2019 at 7:46 PM, Habi said:

time for this weeks wrapup. sorry for being late again, i had some busy days.

data collected so far for active season 58:

  • d1: 2x102 reported: prediction of 4117 looks kinda wrong. looks more like 4087. oh boy that will be some backcorrections... 😖 luckily i didn't add new predictions last week. 🤣 looks like the S3 stagnation is nearing with 4 times the same number of groups. i'm unsure how i will continue with this, maybe next week brings some insights.
  • d2: 1x100, 5x101 reported: prediction of 3120 is very likely.
  • d3: 1x100, 2x101 reported: i just assume the prediction of 2623 total (3x100, 23x101) as confirmed.

updated predictions:

Season 51: 51xx / 3682 / 2580 / 2068
Season 52: 52xx / 3742 / 2670 / 2143
Season 53: 52xx / 3802 / 2760 / 2218
Season 54: 53xx / 3847 / 2850 / 2293
Season 55: 53xx / 3922 / 2910 / 2383

Season 56: 53xx / 3982 / 2970 / 2473
Season 57: 53xx / 4042 / 3045 / 2548
Season 58: 54xx? / 4087? / 3120 / 2623
Season 59: 54xx? / 4162? / 3180? / 2698?
Season 60: 54xx? / 4207? / 3255? / 2773?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...

time for this weeks wrapup.

data collected so far for active season 59:

  • d1: 1x100, 1x101 reported: prediction of 4162 must be wrong again, no 100 groups possible with that. even 4147 can't be. if it's not more than 4132 that means the s3 pool is already shrinking or at least definitely reached stagnation with some plateauing. since the collected data only supports that there's no other explanation. gonna skip adding more predictions until next season.
  • d2: 1x102, 1x103 reported: prediction of 3180 is very likely.
  • d3: 2x103, 3x104 reported: i just assume the prediction of 2698 total (6x103, 20x104) as confirmed.

updated predictions:

Season 51: 51xx / 3682 / 2580 / 2068
Season 52: 52xx / 3742 / 2670 / 2143
Season 53: 52xx / 3802 / 2760 / 2218
Season 54: 53xx / 3847 / 2850 / 2293
Season 55: 53xx / 3922 / 2910 / 2383

Season 56: 53xx / 3982 / 2970 / 2473
Season 57: 53xx? / 4042 / 3045 / 2548
Season 58:
52xx? / 4087? / 3120 / 2623
Season 59:
52xx? / 4132? / 3180? / 2698
Season 60:
52xx? / 4147? / 3255? / 2773?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. (extra info: whenever there is an underlined number the red/green spreads to neighbouring tiers the season after)
  • ...
Edited by Habi
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