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On 4/21/2019 at 3:36 PM, Makinen said:

Event: Legendary Days.

Day 1: 20 hits (was away all day)

Shards: 0

Day 2: 40 hits, 60 total

Shards: 7 (2x2, 1x3), 7 total

...And a Legendary Necklace (1,200 Aff)

Pretty sure i'm not going to get her at this rate: I'll be lucky to hit 15 shards.

Day 3: 38 hits, 98 total

Shards: 8 (3x1, 1x2, 1x3), 15 total

...And a Legendary Panties (1,500 Aff)

Day 4: 52 hits, 150 total

Shards: 7 (1x1, 3x2), 22 total

...And a box of Legendary Chocolates (950 Aff)

 

And time to summarize.

Day 1: 0%  (0 shards average) <-- limited pool
Day 2: 7,5% (2,3 shards average)
Day 3: 13,2% (1,6 shards average)
Day 4: 7,7% (1,8 shards average)
Total: 8,00% (1,83 shards average)

Gift drop rate: 2%

So yeah, in terms of shards this event could be best described as liquid ass, but i got a couple of gifts, so that was at least something memorable about it in the sense that it wasn't a complete waste of time.

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Had no intention of getting her but did all the free fights in the test server and in a normal server.

So, 200-220 free fights over 4 days (did not count them) gave exactly 52/100 shards in both servers. The count was never identical over the span of the event but finally stopped at exactly 52 after this morning's fights. So I can guesstimate a koban spend of 2,500-3,000 at the end would have given her to me. Not bad for a legendary.

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Supergirls revival

Dark Lord
Day 1 - 62 fights - 10 drops (16% drop chance) - 7.9 shards per drop - 79 total
Day 2 - 28 fights - 3 drops (10.7% drop chance) - 27 shards/9 shards per drop - 106 total
TOTAL: 90 fights - 13 drops - 14.4% drop chance - 8.1 shards per drop

Completed revivals:
128, 105, 212, 90 fights to get the girl

 

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Had Iron Viola from the 2nd Anniversary already (obtained with a most painful 1203 battles...), so only one girl to attract in this revival. And as if to make up for the bad Anniv luck:

Hildr (Dark Lord)

Drop#  Battles  BTotal  Shards  STotal
  1        8        8      7       7
  2        3       11      8      15
  3        3       14      3      18
  4        2       16      2      20
  5        4       20     12      32
  6        1       21      2      34
  7        5       26      2      36
  8       10       36     12      48
  9        1       37      8      56
 10        6       43      8      64
 11        4       47     11      75
 12        2       49     11      86
 13        6       55      1      87
 14       10       65     10      97
 15       13       78     11     108
Averages   5.2 (19.2%)     7.2

I actually went back to Roko for contest opportunities for a while after those initial 32 shards in the first 20 battles. Figured that the last two days of the event would just barely be enough to clean up the rest, but now I've not even needed one and a half days.

On the flipside, 160 battles against Roko so far and zero legendary gift drops.

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31 minutes ago, Daniele said:

Worst event so far for me in my nutaku account, i got the first girl only this morning, 220+ fights for 105 shards

Heeeey, 219 fights for 103 shards.¬¬ Had no shard drops for the first 62 fights, ended up repeatedly checking whether I was fighting the right boss or not. Had one more drought lasting 51 fights.

The boss wasn't Ninja spy was it?

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Supergirls revival

Ninja Spy
Day 2 - 22 fights - 3 drops (13.6% drop chance) - 18 shards (6 shards per drop)
Day 3 - 42 fights - 5 drops (12% chance) - 31 shards (6.2 shards per drop)
Day 4 - 53 fights - 6 drops (11.3% drop chance) - 31 shards (5.1 shards per drop)
Day 5 - 55 free fights + 13 paid fights = 68 fights - 5 drops (7.4% drop chance) - 26 shards (5.2 shards per drop)

TOTAL: 185 fights - 19 drops (10.3% drop chance) - 5.6 shards per drop

Completed revivals:
128, 105, 212, 90, 185 fights

1964 consecutive event fights without a lucky 100 shard drop


Conclusion: as always, huge stress with the revival that is really too short for two girls. Getting the first girl with 90 fights in the middle of the second day still meant I had to buy fights (although just once) to get the second girl.
To be lucky with one girl or half of the event has zero significance during a revival. You need a consistent five-day stream of astounding luck if you want two girls from a revival.

 

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Event: Magical Girls

Ninja Spy:

Day 1: 50 hits

Shards: 25 (1x2, 2x4, 3x5)

Day 2: 50 hits, 100 total

Shards: 15 (2x1, 1x2, 1x5, 1x6), 40 total

Day 3: 39 hits, 139 total

Shards: 17 (1x5, 2x6), 57 total

Day 4: 45 hits, 184 total

Shards: 19 (1x1, 1x3, 1x4, 1x5, 1x6), 76 total

Day 5: 32 hits, 216 total

Shards: 25 (2x4, 1x5, 2x6), 101 total

Donatien:

Day 5: 11 hits

Shards: 15 (1x4, 1x5, 1x6)

Day 6: 50 hits, 61 total

Shards: 39 (1x1, 2x2, 2x3, 3x4, 2x5, 1x6), 54 total

Day 7: 40 hits, 101 total

Shards: 24 (3x2, 3x4, 1x6), 78 total

Day 8: 57 hits, 156 total

Shards: 21 (1x2, 1x3, 1x4, 2x6), 99 total

Day 9: 5 hits, 161 total

Shards: 6 (1x6), 105 total

Best 20: 4 drops / 18 shards (2x4, 2x5) and 7 drops / 25 shards (1x1, 1x2, 1x3, 2x4, 1x5, 1x6)

That's it for me on this event, and since this is the most recent post in the thread, no sense making it a new post so i'll just edit the quote tags into this one.

And the stats:

Day 1: 12% (4,2 shards average)
Day 2: 10% (3 shards average)
Day 3: 7,7% (5,7 shards average)
Day 4: 11,1% (3,8 shards average)
Day 5 (Ninja Spy): 15,6% (5 shards average)
Day 5 (Donatien): 27,3% (5 shards average) <-- limited pool
Day 5 (Total): 18,6% (5 shards average)
Day 6: 22% (3,5 shards average)
Day 7: 17,5% (3,4 shards average)
Day 8: 8,8% (4,2 shards average)
Day 9: 20% (6 shards average) <-- limited pool

Totals:
Ninja Spy: 216 hits, 24 drops = 11,11% (4,21 shards average)
Donatien: 161 hits, 27 drops = 16,77% (3,89 shards average)
Overall: 377 hits, 51 drops = 13,53% (4,04 shards average)

Overall a pretty constant event in terms of overall stats and shard drops, but definitely with some massive outliers, especially on Donatien. Day 6 was absolutely insane in terms of drops, 22% and 39 over a full day of hits is the highest it's ever been for me. ^^

Edited by Makinen
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  • 2 weeks later...

Magical classical event

Donatien
244 fights - 29 drops (11.9% drop chance) - 105 shards (3.6 shards per drop)
Ninja
208 fights - 24 drops (11.5% drop chance) - 103 shards (4.3 shards per drop)

Classical events
315+239 (554), 233+263 (496), 244+208 (452)

2,416 consecutive event fights without a lucky 100 shard drop

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A bit of a topsy-turvy event for me.

Petal (Donatien)

Drop#  Battles  BTotal  Shards  STotal
  1       12       12      2       2
  2        2       14      6       8
  3        1       15      6      14
  4        4       19      4      18
  5       12       31      1      19
  6        1       32      3      22
  7        1       33      2      24
  8        3       36      2      26
  9       13       49      5      31
 10       17       66    100     131
Averages   6.6 (15.2%)     3.4 (not including the 100) 

Keeka (Ninja spy)

Drop#  Battles  BTotal  Shards  STotal
  1        6        6      1       1
  2       11       17      3       4
  3        4       21      1       5
  4       22       43      1       6
  5        2       45      2       8
  6       16       61      4      12
  7        1       62      2      14
  8        1       63      3      17
  9       10       73      1      18
 10       21       94      2      20
 11        3       97      5      25
 12        6      103      3      28
 13        1      104      2      30
 14        6      110      1      31
 15       15      125      2      33
 16       23      148      5      38
 17        7      155      1      39
 18        5      160      1      40
 19        3      163      3      43
 20        2      165      1      44
 21       10      175      6      50
 22        5      180      4      54
 23        6      186      4      58
 24        4      190      2      60
 25        6      196      4      64
 26        2      198      2      66
 27        5      203      4      70
 28        4      207      1      71
 29       22      229      2      73
 30        3      232      1      74
 31       28      260      4      78
 32        2      262      4      82
 33        9      271      6      88
 34       10      281      3      91
 35       19      300      6      97
 36       13      313      2      99
 37        1      314      3     102
Averages   8.5 (11.8%)     2.8

The Petal 100 drop was much appreciated (especially so soon!), the early struggles on Keeka weren't - a cool 2.2 shard average through the first 20 drops, with no less than 8 of them for 1 shard (and another 5 for 2). Overall no cause for complaint though, finally some extra time to hit Karole.

Edited by _shal_
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Event: Festival in Town!

Edwarda:

Day 1: 48 hits

Shards: 16 (1x4, 1x5, 1x7)

Day 2: 50 hits, 98 total

Shards: 37 (1x1, 1x2, 2x4, 1x7, 1x8, 1x11), 53 total

Day 3: 45 hits, 143 total

Shards: 32 (1x1, 1x7, 2x12), 85 total

Day 4: 48 hits, 191 total

Shards: 18 (1x5, 1x6, 1x7), 103 total

Best 20: 4 drops / 28 shards (1x2, 1x7, 1x8, 1x11) and 4 drops / 32 shards (1x1, 1x7, 2x12)

 

Totals:

Day 1: 6,3% (5,3 shards average)
Day 2: 14% (5,3 shards average)
Day 3: 8,9% (8 shards average)
Day 4: 6,3% (6 shards average)

Overall: 191 hits, 17 drops = 8,9% (6,06 shards average)

And another event ended. Got some good drops, the percentages were not spectacular but the much higher number of average shards per drop ensured i could still get the girl i was still missing.

Edited by Makinen
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Event: Epic Days

Dark Lord:

Day 1: 56 hits

Shards: 26 (1x3, 2x4, 3x5)

Day 2: 51 hits, 107 total

Shards: 8 (1x3, 1x5), 34 total

Day 3: 43 hits, 150 total

Shards: 20 (2x1, 2x2, 1x4, 2x5), 54 total

(pre-Streak): The drop rate has been absolutely atrocious the past two days. Don't know if i'll make it to 50 at this rate. Got a streak at the end of it, hopefully it can still be salvaged (14 shards behind on schedule).

Day 4: 50 hits, 202 total

Shards: 14 (1x1, 1x3, 2x5), 68 total

Best 20: 4 drops / 12 shards (1x1, 1x2, 1x4, 1x5)

Saddest Streak: 30 and 32 hits.

Edited by Makinen
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Almost forgot...

Festival Regine (Edwarda)

Drop#  Battles  BTotal  Shards  STotal
  1        6        6     11      11
  2       20       26      3      14
  3        8       34      7      21
  4       23       57      7      28
  5       15       72      1      29
  6        9       81      8      37
  7       44      125      3      40
  8        4      129      2      42
  9        8      137     10      52
 10        2      139      8      60
 11        2      141      9      69
 12        5      146     10      79
 13       20      166     12      91
 14       11      177      5      96
 15        5      182      9     105
Averages  12.1 (8.2%)      7.0

Very meh start again, after the 44-battle streak things turned up quite a bit though. Still a below average result overall, but not painfully so.

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Epic Days event

Jackson, 156 battles, 35 shard drops, 100 shards for Berry  (294 battles if I include jackson girls shards drops intertwined, with additional 12 shards for Piper, 17 for Hanna and 7 for Riley)
Edwarda, 251 battles, 32 shard drops, 100 shards for Nikka
Donatien, 291 battles, 31 shard drops, 103 shards for Addy
Roko, 388 battles, 37 shard drops, 100 shards for Rose
Karole, 270 battles, 32 shard drops, 101 shards for Ninja Agate :ph34r:

MISSION ... ACOMPLISHED!!! 🎖️

Again epic days one of my favourite events, five girls for 14K kobans. :DB|

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On 5/20/2019 at 5:51 AM, Makinen said:

Event: Epic Days

Dark Lord:

Day 1: 56 hits

Shards: 26 (1x3, 2x4, 3x5)

Day 2: 51 hits, 107 total

Shards: 8 (1x3, 1x5), 34 total

Day 3: 43 hits, 150 total

Shards: 20 (2x1, 2x2, 1x4, 2x5), 54 total

(pre-Streak): The drop rate has been absolutely atrocious the past two days. Don't know if i'll make it to 50 at this rate. Got a streak at the end of it, hopefully it can still be salvaged (14 shards behind on schedule).

Day 4: 50 hits, 202 total

Shards: 14 (1x1, 1x3, 2x5), 68 total

Best 20: 4 drops / 12 shards (1x1, 1x2, 1x4, 1x5)

Saddest Streak: 30 and 32 hits.

One 14-hit streak saved day 3, but could not prevent the overall from being low.

Current feeling:

Anyway...

Totals:

Day 1: 10,7% (4,3 shards average)
Day 2: 3,9% (4 shards average)
Day 3: 16,3% (2,9 shards average)
Day 4: 8% (3,5 shards average)

Overall: 202 hits, 19 drops = 9,4% (3,58 shards average)

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my combined experience with Epic Days
old system:
650 fights - no drop, gave up - only time I spent kobans on fights during Epic Days
typical: 200 fights during 4 days - no drops ever - never dropped a single girl during Epic Days for free

current event:
test server: 200 free fights - 33 shards
forum server: 200 free fights - 70 shards

Again epic days one of my least favourite events, I have never dropped a single girl during those events :D

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Only 50 shards for me using all my free energy for the event days. Not spending kobans for energy anymore with the new shard system. Just not worth the price to spend any kind of money for a percentage of a girl. Even free kobans are not worth spending on energy. I got one shard for an event girl in the last 3 days. One shard. I got a couple of boss girl shards during that time but that just drove home the point to me that the only thing to spend kobans on were the garunteed 10 roll in pachinko. Everything else to spend kobans on is a complete waste of time.

Since the new system started. I have 445 fights with Karole. Currently no girls dropped but 77 73 55 shards on her girls.

Edited by Rommel84
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Yeah of course you have to refill, especially with the shard system. It was my choice not to do that and my decision not to spend kobans on getting those girls.

My post was just a humorous counter-reference to your enthusiasm about Epic Days. For others the experience has not been so enthusiastic, especially with the old system. The only time I refilled for kobans, I spent 5,500 kobans and got absolutely nothing (other than the conclusion that it would have been much cheaper to get the epic girl from Epic Pachinko instead of hoping to use fights).

I am happy to continue with my current results - that in the history of Epic Days these events have yielded me exactly 0 girls.

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17 hours ago, Rommel84 said:

Since the new system started. I have 445 fights with Karole. Currently no girls dropped but 77 73 55 shards on her girls.

Did you mean 2445 fights or something? There's no way those shard numbers are correct for 445.

Or are you just talking about the recent re-weighting of which girl has shards dropped for her? That's hardly a new system, just a minor adjustment.

Edited by _shal_
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Epic Days results...

Arianne (Dark Lord)

Drop#  Battles  BTotal  Shards  STotal
  1       16       16      2       2
  2        5       21      1       3
  3        2       23      1       4
  4       13       36      1       5
  5       11       47      5      10
  6       16       63      3      13
  7       22       85      1      14
  8       10       95      4      18
  9       21      116      4      22
 10        7      123      5      27
 11        2      125      2      29
 12        9      134      5      34
 13        3      137      3      37
 14        9      146      2      39
 15        1      147      2      41
 16        6      153      4      45
 17        1      154      2      47
 18       15      169      3      50
 19        1      170      2      52
 20        3      173      2      54
 21       46      219      4      58
 22        9      228      3      61
 23       17      245      4      65
 24        9      254      2      67
 25        7      261      1      68
 26       13      274      5      73
 27       20      294      4      77
 28       13      307      1      78
 29        1      308      4      82
 30       13      321      5      87
 31        5      326      5      92
 32       19      345      1      93
 33        1      346      3      96
 34        8      354      1      97
 35        1      355      5     102
Averages  10.1 (9.9%)      2.9

Cop Nika (Edwarda)

Drop#  Battles  BTotal  Shards  STotal
  1       13       13      5       5
  2       15       28      5      10
  3        1       29      1      11
  4       13       42      5      16
  5       10       52      1      17
  6        2       54      5      22
  7        2       56      5      27
  8       15       71      4      31
  9        4       75      4      35
 10        3       78      2      37
 11        1       79      3      40
 12        6       85      1      41
 13        7       92      4      45
 14        4       96      5      50
 15        5      101      3      53
 16        2      103      5      58
 17        2      105      3      61
 18        4      109      4      65
 19       28      137      5      70
 20       41      178      5      75
 21       17      195      3      78
 22       18      213      3      81
 23        5      218      4      85
 24       12      230      5      90
 25       25      255      2      92
 26        1      256      4      96
 27        3      259      5     101
Averages   9.6 (10.4%)     3.7

Addy (Donatien)

Drop#  Battles  BTotal  Shards  STotal
  1       21       21      5       5
  2        3       24      5      10
  3       14       38      5      15
  4        2       40      3      18
  5        1       41      4      22
  6       42       83      5      27
  7       14       97      3      30
  8       21      118      2      32
  9        3      121      4      36
 10        6      127      4      40
 11       14      141      2      42
 12       13      154      2      44
 13        7      161      5      49
 14       10      171      3      52
 15        5      176      4      56
 16        1      177      2      58
 17       31      208      1      59
 18        7      215      4      63
 19        5      220      3      66
 20       10      230      4      70
 21       13      243      5      75
 22       12      255      5      80
 23       14      269      3      83
 24        5      274      1      84
 25        2      276      5      89
 26        6      282      5      94
 27        6      288      3      97
 28       15      303      1      98
 29       25      328      4     102
Averages  11.3 (8.8%)      3.5

Rose (Roko Sensei)

Drop#  Battles  BTotal  Shards  STotal
  1       24       24      3       3
  2        4       28      4       7
  3        7       35      1       8
  4        5       40      4      12
  5        8       48      5      17
  6        2       50      3      20
  7        9       59      3      23
  8       22       81      5      28
  9        4       85      3      31
 10        2       87      4      35
 11       23      110      4      39
 12       16      126      2      41
 13       17      143      1      42
 14        9      152      1      43
 15        9      161      5      48
 16        8      169      5      53
 17        5      174      4      57
 18        2      176      4      61
 19        3      179      1      62
 20        3      182      2      64
 21        1      183      5      69
 22        2      185      2      71
 23        2      187      4      75
 24        7      194      3      78
 25        4      198      5      83
 26       13      211      5      88
 27       22      233      5      93
 28        1      234      4      97
 29       18      252      2      99
 30       11      263      4     103
Averages   8.8 (11.4%)     3.4

Ninja Agate (Karole)

Drop#  Battles  BTotal  Shards  STotal
  1        6        6      2       2
  2        1        7      2       4
  3        7       14      3       7
  4        6       20      3      10
  5        8       28      2      12
  6        5       33      2      14
  7       19       52      4      18
  8        6       58      5      23
  9       12       70      4      27
 10        4       74      3      30
 11        8       82      5      35
 12        8       90      3      38
 13        1       91      3      41
 14       36      127      1      42
 15        3      130      4      46
 16       25      155      4      50
 17       10      165      4      54
 18        4      169      5      59
 19       40      209      5      64
 20       27      236      4      68
 21       24      260      5      73
 22        1      261      1      74
 23        1      262      2      76
 24        9      271      2      78
 25        4      275      1      79
 26       23      298      2      81
 27        8      306      3      84
 28        2      308      1      85
 29        9      317      5      90
 30        4      321      5      95
 31        8      329      1      96
 32       10      339      2      98
 33        4      343      4     102
Averages  10.4 (9.6%)      3.1

Berry (Jackson's Crew)

Drop#  Battles  BTotal  Shards  STotal
  1       16       16      2       2
  2       14       30      3       5
  3        4       34      2       7
  4        9       43      5      12
  5       27       70      1      13
  6        8       78      3      16
  7        9       87      4      20
  8        1       88      1      21
  9        7       95      4      25
 10       17      112      3      28
 11       16      128      1      29
 12        9      137      2      31
 13       18      155      4      35
 14       15      170      4      39
 15        4      174      1      40
 16       15      189      4      44
 17        8      197      1      45
 18        3      200      5      50
 19       10      210      3      53
 20       13      223      3      56
 21        5      228      2      58
 22        6      234      2      60
 23        7      241      4      64
 24        1      242      1      65
 25        4      246      1      66
 26        2      248      2      68
 27        8      256      4      72
 28        8      264      2      74
 29        3      267      1      75
 30        8      275      5      80
 31       16      291      1      81
 32        5      296      1      82
 33        1      297      3      85
 34        3      300      4      89
 35        1      301      3      92
 36       11      312      1      93
 37       10      322      4      97
 38        1      323      4     101
Averages   8.5 (11.8%)     2.7

Overall averages: 1871 battles for 192 drops => 9.7 (10.3%), and 611 shards (3.2).

Cop Nika was on the way to a rather spectacular finish, with very frequent and very high shard drops, until the 28-41-17-18 series of battles wrecked the first half of that luck. Still a nice total of 259 in the end, my lowest so far for an ED Girl under the shard system (not counting 100 drops), but it wasn't that much better than others, with Rose on 263 in this same event, and also numbers of 267, 270 and 271 in the previous Epic Days.

Conversely, Arianne started off rather terribly (particularly annoying since that was free combativity)...after 110 battles I was on course to need 600 for her. xD Given that early scare, 355 was a decent enough finish.

Overall no complaints. Got out a bit cheaper than the expected ~2000 battles for 6 girls, though an insta-drop would have been nice along the way. Maybe in the next ED again.

Edited by _shal_
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And the concurrent results for the three late bosses on whom I still have regular girls to get.

When villains have both event and regular girls on, I don't discount the shard drop battles from the other type of girls, because my accounting gets too messy if the battle totals don't match up to the sum of the individual drops. So, with that out of the way:


Roko: 263 battles

12 Mavin (47->59), 5 drops
7 Venam (31->38), 5 drops

This started off with a cool 104-battle series until the first drop, topping my old record of 94 on Karole a little while ago. Getting 10 Rose drops before one for a regular girl made me briefly wonder if something's bugged... Needless to say the rest of the battles weren't able to rescue the drop rate average there, so 10/263 = 3.8%, vastly below my Roko numbers before the event (29/520 = 5.6%).

Unfortunate shard drop numbers as well, 1.9 (19 in 10) is quite a bit below Roko's target average of 2.5 - none of those 10 drops were for the maximum 4 shards.


Karole: 343 battles

7 Rin (63->70), 5 drops
13 Toshiko (42->55), 5 drops
21 Willow (63->84), 11 drops

21/343 = 6.1%, roughly the same as my previous results on Karole (88/1509 = 5.8%).


Jackson's Crew: 323 battles

16 Hanna (5->21), 6 drops
17 Piper (10->27), 8 drops
5 Riley (3->8), 3 drops

17/323 = 5.3% here. I'd enjoyed some good luck in the few battles I had previously done against the Crew, 10/122 = 8.2%; the event results are probably more in line with what to expect for the future, also broadly matching the percentages for Roko and Karole, of course.

Altogether 48 drops / 98 shards in those 929 battles, a nice bonus alongside the actual Epic Days spoils.


Barring major bad luck, I should be roughly 800-1000 battles away from completing each of Roko and Karole. I'm hoping the 3rd Anniversary will be designed in such a way that I'm getting to clear those off completely, much like I was able to get all 6 girls from Donatien and Silvanus in the previous Anniv.

Edited by _shal_
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