casey Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, _shal_ said: And another friendly reminder that this is not the thread for casual league chat... Well @Shall players it seems prefer to post league play stuff under this thread as opposed to my thread "how are you doing in the leagues" personally i'm crushed by this rebuke and abandonment 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Habi Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 (edited) On 6/21/2019 at 8:45 PM, Habi said: time for this weeks wrapup. data collected so far for active season 40: s3: ... d1: 5x103, 1x104 reported: thanks to the 104 report it is clear that the prediction was too low. it must be at least 2782. i'll also go with that number because it's 15 more than predicted and i treat it as lucky incident that the sole 104 group was also reported. also going up by 30 seems unrealistic in terms of backwards corrections. now this week (or better said last week) something i already suspected to maybe happening indeed happened. the s3 size stalled at 42xx in season 38 but with the data provided so far it must have skipped 43xx and jumped directly into the 44xx range in season 39. this might mean the s3 growth is still rather strong and only slowly decelerates. it can also just be an outburst while settling at a lower growth rate. the next weeks will bring clarity. lots of green numbers this week thanks to this. d2: 2x106 reported: prediction of 1695 is very likely. only one group with 105 players expected and it's unlikely that it will be reported. d3: 1x103, 3x104 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1140 total (4x103, 7x104) as confirmed. updated predictions (removed the italic markup because i think it's not very useful. updated predictions marked with the new coloring scheme should be more effective): Season 36: 41xx / 2452 / 1350 / 810 Season 37: 42xx / 2542 / 1440 / 885 Season 38: 42xx / 2632 / 1515 / 975Season 39: 44xx / 2707 / 1590 / 1065Season 40: 45xx? / 2782 / 1695 / 1140 Season 41: 46xx? / 2887? / 1785 / 1215 Season 42: 47xx? / 2992? / 1875? / 1290 Season 43: 48xx? / 3097? / 1950? / 1380? Season 44: 49xx? / 3202? / 2025? / 1470? Season 45: 50xx? / 3277? / 2115? / 1560? Season 46: 51xx? / 3382? / 2190? / 1650? legend: the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold. every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it. predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. ... time for this weeks wrapup. data collected so far for active season 41: s3: ... d1: 3x103, 1x104 reported: only 3x104 is expected so i'll take it as lucky coincidence again that one of those is reported. prediction of 2887 looks valid. d2: 5x105 reported: prediction of 1785 is very likely. no different sized groups expected. d3: 3x101, 1x102 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1215 total (9x101, 3x102) as confirmed. updated predictions: Season 36: 41xx / 2452 / 1350 / 810 Season 37: 42xx / 2542 / 1440 / 885 Season 38: 42xx / 2632 / 1515 / 975Season 39: 44xx / 2707 / 1590 / 1065 Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140Season 41: 46xx? / 2887 / 1785 / 1215 Season 42: 47xx? / 2992? / 1875 / 1290 Season 43: 48xx? / 3097? / 1950? / 1380 Season 44: 49xx? / 3202? / 2025? / 1470? Season 45: 50xx? / 3277? / 2115? / 1560? Season 46: 51xx? / 3382? / 2190? / 1650? legend: the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold. every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it. predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. ... Edited June 30, 2019 by Habi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Observer_X Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 On 6/27/2019 at 11:15 PM, jelom said: Better late than never: 101 player D3. Oh! Gambit126 posted it before ... Still no winner. Fran took a loss, and there are some boosted players blocking the rush to perfect score. The most incredible thing IMHO is seeing Fran without a perfect score... a real surprise seeing he lost one battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sev Posted June 30, 2019 Share Posted June 30, 2019 D1 // #103 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSonicSly Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 Here's My D2 for this week with 104 players! 😄 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman22 Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 My D3: Z-Wave 381 <- winner! Congrats! Natstar 379 pipeline 373 ... and 105 more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_shal_ Posted July 4, 2019 Author Share Posted July 4, 2019 (edited) D3, 108 players, top Max Fart @ 387. (And also the winner after he leisurely spent the first three hours of the season getting to a perfect score with manually done battles.) Edited July 4, 2019 by _shal_ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yourfriend Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 D1, 102 people, top me lvl 356 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zteev Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 D1 102 people, top levels are: LVL 358 Debaron LVL 355 Bunitas - conratulations to the winner with the perfect score sitting at #1. LVL 354 StrangerHero LVL 354 fakes LVL 353 Bob LVL 353 Bobby I listed 6 due to the obvious possible confusion between Bob & Bobby, who have different nations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Habi Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 33 minutes ago, Zteev said: D1 102 people, top levels are: LVL 358 Debaron LVL 355 Bunitas - conratulations to the winner with the perfect score sitting at #1. LVL 354 StrangerHero LVL 354 fakes LVL 353 Bob LVL 353 Bobby I listed 6 due to the obvious possible confusion between Bob & Bobby, who have different nations. thank you. just to clarify: the top lvl player is just needed to sort out duplicate reports. if the difference between highest and 2nd highest is so big as it is the case in your group the highest lvl alone would suffice. reporting more than one player is only necessary/recommended if two or more tie for highest lvl. ofc thanks to all other reporters aswell. 👍 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DHarry Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 On 6/29/2019 at 6:34 AM, Observer_X said: The most incredible thing IMHO is seeing Fran without a perfect score... a real surprise seeing he lost one battle. I imagine he was surprised too. And not in a good way. 😬 Speaking of which, he is now in my league as highest lvl (399, I may see him hit 400! ) and he has set the perfect score. 963 for 108 players in the league. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andy86 Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 (edited) D1, 103 players 🙂 : Edited July 4, 2019 by Andy86 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arvelak Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 D2 with 104 players, highest level is Issou Hyoudou at 369 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Observer_X Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 (edited) 5 hours too late... as it can be seen (by the ones who remember my ingame nick), I am in the same league as Andy86 Edited July 4, 2019 by Observer_X 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jelom Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 And of course here is my bracket in D3 with 107 players for this week. Ben Bracke assured first place and Cadmos is second. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gambit126 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 D3 with 107 players this season Top lvl 385 are Bananajoy and SonyaVixen 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zteev Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 21 hours ago, Habi said: thank you. just to clarify: the top lvl player is just needed to sort out duplicate reports. if the difference between highest and 2nd highest is so big as it is the case in your group the highest lvl alone would suffice. reporting more than one player is only necessary/recommended if two or more tie for highest lvl. ofc thanks to all other reporters aswell. 👍 . Gotcha. Just making sure that I give enough info, as I wouldn't want to have someone jump somebody and have confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sev Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 12 hours ago, Observer_X said: 5 hours too late... as it can be seen (by the ones who remember my ingame nick), I am in the same league as Andy86 I'm also there, not on the shown list though... Could you please remind us which one is your real ingame nick? Just curious... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
linkdream Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 (edited) D1 // #103 Edited July 5, 2019 by linkdream 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Observer_X Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 11 hours ago, Sev said: I'm also there, not on the shown list though... Could you please remind us which one is your real ingame nick? Just curious... It's a secret ... if I told you then I should kill you... Just joking... I'll give you a hint: in the picture there are only two players between me and Andy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Habi Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 43 minutes ago, Observer_X said: It's a secret ... if I told you then I should kill you... Just joking... I'll give you a hint: in the picture there are only two players between me and Andy now it's uncovered. this is you! 🤔 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Habi Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 (edited) On 6/28/2019 at 8:08 PM, Habi said: time for this weeks wrapup. data collected so far for active season 41: s3: ... d1: 3x103, 1x104 reported: only 3x104 is expected so i'll take it as lucky coincidence again that one of those is reported. prediction of 2887 looks valid. d2: 5x105 reported: prediction of 1785 is very likely. no different sized groups expected. d3: 3x101, 1x102 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1215 total (9x101, 3x102) as confirmed. updated predictions: Season 36: 41xx / 2452 / 1350 / 810 Season 37: 42xx / 2542 / 1440 / 885 Season 38: 42xx / 2632 / 1515 / 975Season 39: 44xx / 2707 / 1590 / 1065 Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140Season 41: 46xx? / 2887 / 1785 / 1215 Season 42: 47xx? / 2992? / 1875 / 1290 Season 43: 48xx? / 3097? / 1950? / 1380 Season 44: 49xx? / 3202? / 2025? / 1470? Season 45: 50xx? / 3277? / 2115? / 1560? Season 46: 51xx? / 3382? / 2190? / 1650? legend: the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold. every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it. predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. ... time for this weeks wrapup. data collected so far for active season 42: s3: ... d1: 2x102, 2x103 reported: the prediction of 2992 would have required groups containing 103 and 104 players. the reports indicate a player pool of only 2977 (10x102, 19x103). meaning s41's s3 stagnated again. this happening a second time within a few weeks strongly hints towards a slowdown of growth. d2: 2x104 reported: prediction of 1875 is very likely. a report of a 105 group would be nice to confirm things. d3: 3x107, 4x108 reported: i just assume the prediction of 1290 total (6x107, 6x108) as confirmed. updated predictions (removed some outdated seasons): Season 40: 45xx / 2782 / 1695 / 1140 Season 41: 45xx / 2887 / 1785 / 1215Season 42: 46xx? / 2977 / 1875 / 1290 Season 43: 47xx? / 3067? / 1950 / 1380 Season 44: 48xx? / 3157? / 2025? / 1470 Season 45: 49xx? / 3247? / 2100? / 1560? Season 46: 50xx? / 3337? / 2175? / 1650? legend: the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold. every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it. predictions that were corrected down are red, predictions corrected up are green. if a corrected prediction influences the number of groups in addition to the player pool it will be underlined aswell. ... Edited July 5, 2019 by Habi 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Салерион Posted July 11, 2019 Share Posted July 11, 2019 102 players 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSonicSly Posted July 11, 2019 Share Posted July 11, 2019 Here's My D2 bracket for this week with 102 players and with oh, what's this? Me as the highest level player?! Sweet. 😎 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Z-Wave Posted July 11, 2019 Share Posted July 11, 2019 DIII with 106 players: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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