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Identifying the Dicktator league brackets


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On 5/2/2019 at 8:19 AM, Habi said:

Season 32: <68xx? / 37xx (17/32/47/62) / 2062 or 2077 / 1010 / 510
Season 33: ... / ~40*101? / 2167 or 2182 / 1085 / 585
Season 34: ... / ... / 2287 or 2302? / 1175 / 660
Season 35: ... / ... / ... / 1265 or 1280? / 735
Season 36: ... / ... / ... / ... / 810?
Season 37: ... / ... / ... / ... / ...
Season 38:  ... / ... / ... / ... / ...

continue with the good reports, especially s3 would be good to know for better backtracking/predicting. i'll edit this post once more data is known.

template for editing...
data collected so far for active season 34:

  • s2: ...
  • s3: 1x101 reported. looks like s3 is big enough now so predictions/growth can only be assumed as the last weeks' reports were all 101 iirc.
  • d1: 3x103 and 2x102 reported. so even the low end of the prediction 2287 doesn't hold. only possibility would be 2257 (9x102 + 13x103).
  • d2: 3x106 and 1x107 reported. rework that: 3x106 disproof the predicted 1175 but 1160 would require groups of 105 and 106. i'm going to assume some unusual happenings like banned players. gonna continue to calc with 1175 for now.
  • d3: 6x110 players verified

updated predictions (backwards):

Season 32: >=60xx && <68xx? / 37xx (17/32/47/62) (37*(100/101/102)?) / 20xx (62/77) (20*(103/104)) / 1010 / 510
Season 33: ??? / 38xx (07/22/37/52/67) (38*(100/101/102)?) / 2167 (67/82/97) (21*(103/104/105)?)  / 1085 / 585
Season 34: ... / 39xx? (x*(100/101/102)?) / 2257 / 1175 / 660
Season 35: ... / 40xx? / 2347? / 1265 / 735
Season 36: ... / 41xx? / 2437? / 1355? / 810
Season 37: ... / 42xx? / 2527? / 1445? / 885?
Season 38: ... / 43xx? / 2617? / 1520? / 975?
Season 39: ... / 44xx? / 2707? / 1595? / 1065?
Season 40: ... / 45xx? / 2782? / 1700? / 1140?

posting S3 and more D2 would be awesome to better backtrace and predict upcoming seasons.

edit: i hope the unreadable convolution gets clearer over time. still trying to figure out what numbers are possible/reasonable. i added predictions with an assumed s3 growth of 1 group per week starting with the backtraced 37 groups of season 32. (i think that's somewhat reasonable) tracking/predicting/guessing s2 will probably be abandoned soon.

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • ...
Edited by Habi
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My new D3 league with 105 players.

Congrats to Boogerstick who was the fastest shooter and got 1st place for this week.

image.png.2d3b4e805ed8e9f176ecd5d996ce5687.png

Curiosity: in the same league are Max Fart and max fart (second time I see both in my league)

image.png.69cd4a25b1407d71a5831a0a4a33e549.png

Edited by jelom
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On 5/10/2019 at 6:19 PM, Habi said:

template for editing...
data collected so far for active season 34:

  • s2: ...
  • s3: 1x101 reported. looks like s3 is big enough now so predictions/growth can only be assumed as the last weeks' reports were all 101 iirc.
  • d1: 3x103 and 2x102 reported. so even the low end of the prediction 2287 doesn't hold. only possibility would be 2257 (9x102 + 13x103).
  • d2: 3x106 and 1x107 reported. rework that: 3x106 disproof the predicted 1175 but 1160 would require groups of 105 and 106. i'm going to assume some unusual happenings like banned players. gonna continue to calc with 1175 for now.
  • d3: 6x110 players verified

updated predictions (backwards):

Season 32: >=60xx && <68xx? / 37xx (17/32/47/62) (37*(100/101/102)?) / 20xx (62/77) (20*(103/104)) / 1010 / 510
Season 33: ??? / 38xx (07/22/37/52/67) (38*(100/101/102)?) / 2167 (67/82/97) (21*(103/104/105)?)  / 1085 / 585
Season 34: ... / 39xx? (x*(100/101/102)?) / 2257 / 1175 / 660
Season 35: ... / 40xx? / 2347? / 1265 / 735
Season 36: ... / 41xx? / 2437? / 1355? / 810
Season 37: ... / 42xx? / 2527? / 1445? / 885?
Season 38: ... / 43xx? / 2617? / 1520? / 975?
Season 39: ... / 44xx? / 2707? / 1595? / 1065?
Season 40: ... / 45xx? / 2782? / 1700? / 1140?

posting S3 and more D2 would be awesome to better backtrace and predict upcoming seasons.

edit: i hope the unreadable convolution gets clearer over time. still trying to figure out what numbers are possible/reasonable. i added predictions with an assumed s3 growth of 1 group per week starting with the backtraced 37 groups of season 32. (i think that's somewhat reasonable) tracking/predicting/guessing s2 will probably be abandoned soon.

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • ...

time for this weeks wrapup (or at least the attempt for it)

data collected so far for active season 35:

  • s2: ...
  • s3: ...
  • d1: 1x102 and 2x103 reported: assuming 23 groups like predicted gives a range of 2348-2368. prediction isn't possible anymore, i'll go up by 15 for 2362.
  • d2: ~7x105 reported: i'm assuming there's only groups of 105 which would mean 1260 players. the predicted 1265 is still possible but i'll go with the 1260 anyways as it is the more likely scenario as of now. season 40 will show whether that was accurate due to the close call to 1700 players.
  • d3: 7x105/735 confirmed as predicted.

updated predictions (backwards):

Season 32: >=60xx && <68xx? / 37xx (17/32/47/62) (37*(100/101/102)?) / 20xx (62/77) (20*(103/104)) / 1020 / 510
Season 33: ??? / 38xx (07/22/37/52/67) (38*(100/101/102)?) / 2167 (67/82/97) (21*(103/104/105)?)  / 1095 / 585
Season 34: ... / 39xx? (x*(100/101/102)?) / 2257 / 1170 / 660
Season 35: ... / 40xx? / 2362 / 1260 / 735
Season 36: ... / 41xx? / 2452? / 1350 / 810
Season 37: ... / 42xx? / 2542? / 1440? / 885
Season 38: ... / 43xx? / 2632? / 1515? / 975?
Season 39: ... / 44xx? / 2722? / 1590? / 1065?
Season 40: ... / 45xx? / 2797? / 1695? / 1140?

legend:

  • the active season (while this current post is maintained) is bold.
  • every prediction/assumption that is uncertain has a '?' with it.
  • ...
Edited by Habi
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On 5/16/2019 at 2:54 PM, Andy86 said:

My (first) D1 bracket has 103 players, from Level 216 to Level 349

 

6 hours ago, Observer_X said:

Here is my Dicktator I for this week (103 players, from level 224 to level 349):

blob.png.a7e3e8819e938a8bfb429af6190a0bdc.png

is this the same group or a distinct one?

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On 5/16/2019 at 11:10 AM, jelom said:

My new D3 league with 105 players.

Congrats to Boogerstick who was the fastest shooter and got 1st place for this week.

image.png.2d3b4e805ed8e9f176ecd5d996ce5687.png

Curiosity: in the same league are Max Fart and max fart (second time I see both in my league)

image.png.69cd4a25b1407d71a5831a0a4a33e549.png

It seems like you should build a wall. 😉

Also, I see my D3 isnt here yet. 105 players with Tadataka as the winner. 

 

Edited by DHarry
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